2025-12-27 16:23:08

Since 2009, the S&P 500 has experienced six major corrections. But there has been an unbreakable rule over the years — there has never been a consecutive two-year bear market in history. Even more interesting is that after each bear market, the following year typically sees a significant rally, with an average increase of 21.25%.

If the current downward trend continues this year, according to this pattern, next year should be a rebound year. The market's predicted range is a 12% to 28% increase. Sounds exaggerated? But the data is right there.

Some might say "this time might be different." But from another perspective, when a pattern is repeatedly validated over a century of markets, obsessing over exceptions is really a fight against probability. Top assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL ultimately need to align with macro cycles.

For those preparing to participate in the 2026 rebound, hesitation now might just be the beginning of regret. This isn't about urging you to go all-in, but about highlighting that such a level of certainty is rare in investing.

BTC0,48%

ETH0,66%

SOL1,7%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

Web3Educator

· 9h ago

ngl the "this time is different" crowd always cracks me up... let me break this down for my students real quick — when you're literally fighting a century of data, you're just betting against math at that point. the macro cycle doesn't care about your feelings, fr.

Reply0

MissedAirdropBro

· 9h ago

The century-old rule is just that, a century-old rule. This time, it's really different, right? --- Basically, it's about betting on probabilities. I bet on it. --- Wait, can this logic be applied to the crypto world? Feels more surreal. --- I'll definitely participate in the rebound in 2026. The question is, how low can it go this year? --- Hesitation will lead to defeat. I've heard that too many times, haha. --- Historical data is right here. Saying it's different is pointless. --- So, should I start bottom-fishing now, or wait a bit longer? --- Top assets are talking to macro cycles. Sounds very professional. --- The 12 to 28 increase range is too broad. How to reference it? --- Not urging all in, but just subtly pushing. I can tell.

View OriginalReply0

OnlyUpOnly

· 9h ago

The century-old rule really works, but I'm more concerned about whether I'll get proven wrong this time.

View OriginalReply0

AllInAlice

· 9h ago

I've heard too many stories of the century-old rules being proven wrong.

View OriginalReply0

CodeSmellHunter

· 9h ago

The century-old rule slaps in the face "this time is different," honestly a bit harsh --- A 21% rebound after the bear market, this data isn't made up, right? --- Instead of obsessing over exceptions, it's better to bet on probabilities. Anyway, there's no better way --- I've already marked the rebound in 2026. Is it still okay to get in now? --- Two consecutive years of bear markets without occurrence? That reassures me, feels like I can sleep well --- All in definitely won't work, but completely pulling back is too cowardly, it's uncomfortable --- BTC's dialogue with macro cycles sounds very professional, but I'm still panicking --- This logic sounds invincible at first glance, but who dares to bet at critical moments? --- The century-old data is right here, what are you still doubting? It's time to take action

View OriginalReply0

HappyToBeDumped