2025-12-26 15:00:22

#数字资产市场动态 IR Coin Technical Analysis: Shorting Opportunities in Low Liquidity

Current price: $0.1373 (FDV approximately $137M). This level is quite interesting—24-hour trading volume has plummeted 38%, indicating that longs are rapidly exiting. Looking at liquidation data makes it even clearer: 83% of liquidations come from longs, only 17% from shorts. This overwhelming directional bias is unlikely to be wrong.

Funding rate remains positive (+0.03%), meaning longs need to pay continuously to maintain their positions, adding to cost pressure. On the technical side, the 1h and 4h RSI are oscillating in the neutral zone. Although the price is still above the short-term moving averages, testing the SMA50 has been repeatedly blocked. The Bollinger Bands are in contraction—typical signals that after consolidation, a directional move is imminent.

Shorting strategy reference:
Entry zone: $0.1360-$0.1380. Three conditions must be met simultaneously: the price tests this area but RSI fails to break above 50, trading volume remains low (4h volume <$15M), and open interest continues to decline by over 30%. Additionally, look for a break below the lower Bollinger Band or a bearish engulfing pattern on the 1h chart. Enter only when these three conditions are met, with position size limited to within 15% of the account.

Targets are divided into two:
First target: $0.1300
Second target: $0.1270
Stop-loss at $0.1420 (a short-term resistance level). Risk-reward ratio is 1:1. The cumulative long liquidation in the $0.1296-$0.1360 range amounts to $197k, while the $0.1408-$0.1486 range has $198k in short liquidations—this symmetry suggests a higher probability of downward movement, especially considering the backdrop of a sharp drop in open interest.

Caution:
A 38% drop in open interest could lead to liquidity exhaustion, increasing slippage. Consolidation phases often lead to sideways movement, which can be time-consuming or shaken out. If the price forcibly breaks above $0.142, shorts should cut losses. This opportunity does not have a high win rate and is suitable for small positions to test signals.

IR-8,98%

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GasSavingMaster

· 11h ago

Position drops 38%, all the longs have run away. This round is indeed quite interesting. --- Trading in such low liquidity environments, slippage can eat up your profits in minutes. --- RSI is stuck in the neutral zone, just waiting for a decisive signal. --- The symmetric clear account data looks good, but with such poor liquidity, do you really dare to enter? --- Trying with 15% position size is okay, going all in is just pure gambling. --- The liquidation data overwhelmingly shows a bearish outlook, but don’t get shaken out; that’s all. --- Bollinger Bands contracting means a big move is coming soon, just not sure which direction. --- The fee rate is only 0.03%, so the cost pressure isn’t as high as you might think. --- This kind of shorting opportunity has a low win rate. I’d rather wait for clearer signals before taking action. --- The risk of liquidity exhaustion is real; be cautious and don’t get wiped out by slippage.

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MetaEggplant

· 11h ago

I've been looking for a while, and I feel this opportunity is indeed a bit trivial... How much can a small position test earn?

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gas_guzzler

· 11h ago

Another low-liquidity short trap, it's too easy to get crushed when playing this kind of coin.

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 11h ago

A 38% drop in holdings is really incredible; this is a clear signal that the bulls have completely given up. --- Low liquidity trap, just try small positions, don't be greedy. --- RSI stuck in the neutral zone, feels like being trapped... --- Symmetrical clearing data, this is really a bit strange. --- Not the high win rate type, so I think I'll observe for now. --- Bulls paying to maintain positions, the cost pressure is so high that they really can't hold on. --- Bollinger Bands contraction usually isn't a good sign. --- Liquidity exhaustion and slippage widening, this risk is a bit high. --- A 38% crash, betting on it still depends on the risk. --- SMA50 is blocked, feels like it's heading downhill. --- All three conditions need to be confirmed simultaneously, which is quite demanding.

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