Prediction markets are experiencing a critical shift from investment hotspots to infrastructure development.



First, let's look at the anomalies on the financing side. In December this year, Kalshi completed a $1 billion Series E funding round led by Paradigm, with its valuation soaring to $11 billion, with top-tier institutions like Sequoia and CapitalG participating throughout. Meanwhile, another leading platform received a $2 billion strategic investment from ICE, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, with its valuation locked at $9 billion. These figures reflect not only strong capital confidence but also the beginning of traditional financial giants deeply entering this track.

Even more interesting is the fission of application scenarios. Prediction platforms are no longer operating independently but are starting to deeply integrate with mainstream channels—one leading platform has established partnerships with CNBC and CNN, while another has connected with Yahoo Finance and professional sports events. Major events like the 2026 World Cup and midterm elections are expected to maintain weekly trading volumes above $100 million.

But the real turning point lies in the change of value positioning. The market's focus has quietly shifted from "trading tools" to "data assets." Some institutional research teams believe that distributed prediction data is becoming a "truth source" for financial institutions to hedge macro risks, even surpassing traditional polls in accuracy. In other words, prediction markets are gradually evolving from a betting venue into a data provider at the infrastructure level.
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HashBanditvip
· 20h ago
ngl, watching prediction markets pivot from "lol free money" to actual infrastructure is kind of wild... but here's the thing—back in my mining days we thought the same about on-chain data too, then fees went bonkers and nobody cared anymore. so like, will this actually scale or just another hype cycle? 🤔
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WhaleStalkervip
· 20h ago
Damn, from a speculative tool to an infrastructure data source, this shift is pretty intense. --- Paradigm and ICE are both heavily investing; traditional finance is really about to enter the game. --- Wait, predictive data is more accurate than polls? Then the previous polling agencies must be crying to death. --- This move to integrate mainstream channels is smart; the next unicorn might be right here. --- Valuations of 11 billion and 9 billion, I can smell the bubble, but I also see the logic. --- A weekly trading volume of 1 billion USD—if 2026 really arrives, this market will explode. --- Shifting to data assets is the real core; trading is just a cover, right?
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GateUser-75ee51e7vip
· 20h ago
110 billion valuation? This is the real infrastructure, not those messy concepts.
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RegenRestorervip
· 21h ago
A $11 billion valuation skyrocketing so quickly—traditional finance is really starting to get scared.
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AirdropHermitvip
· 21h ago
A valuation of 11 billion is just the beginning. Get ready to see traditional finance be completely disrupted.
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