Regarding this historic largest options delivery, market discussions are loud, but actual market fluctuations are surprisingly restrained.

Look, all kinds of voices are guessing—will it drop first then rise or rise first then drop? Some even imagine a back-and-forth washout drama of ten thousand dollars. But what’s the result? It’s hard to go up, and also difficult to go down. Since everyone is hesitating at this position, let’s wait until Monday, as history shows that deliveries are usually on Friday, with a new cycle starting on Monday.

The most interesting are those lengthy analysis articles over 5,000 words. I only need to skim the beginning. Honestly, about "predictions," it’s a bit laughable. But most people love to hear them, insisting on being "guided through the maze."

It really tires me to watch. Since it’s so exhausting, why not just be direct? Match your current funds to the market capacity and trade accordingly—simple and straightforward. Do as much as your ability allows.

The essence of the market is the flow of interests, and the generation of interests is fundamentally the continuous redistribution of wealth. You have only two paths: either "take profits and withdraw" completely or be "forced to liquidate" and be pushed out. But as long as you’re in this game, you can’t avoid the moment of redistribution, which then cycles repeatedly.

Ask yourself: what is your current role—are you still fighting and speculating inside? Or have you made money and are watching coldly from the sidelines? Clarify your position first. Do you want to secure your profits once you make money? Or do you have to keep rolling? Or perhaps you’ve never made money and are still suffering losses? No matter what role you play, since you’ve entered, your motivation is for redistribution.

So it’s simple—return to the market trend itself, prepare your positions in advance.

What is the current consensus? A four-year big cycle, heading into a bear market. Honestly, this is a consensus. Even the most bullish don’t need to insist stubbornly. The super bull market you’re hoping for? The current conditions simply don’t support it. So there’s no need to deny it verbally and keep shouting bearish in your mind. Admitting to a bear market is nothing to be ashamed of.

Just look at this wave—institutions shout daily for 150,000 to 200,000, but the reality is different. Retail investors are all buying at 110,000 to 100,000. Have institutions profited and escaped? Regardless of whether 150-200K happens or not, at least the market should be cleaned up first, right? It has already fallen 36%, and players using leverage have basically been cleared out. So isn’t it time for the phase of reallocation of chips? Since redistribution is inevitable, volatility will occur.

From this logic, no matter how much it falls or shakes later, the purpose is always the same: redistribution of chips. The direction is clear. For those trading contracts, it’s simply about buying more at lower levels, continuing to buy at even lower levels, and still buying if it drops further. If you want to go against the trend and open short positions, you’d better think twice—your inner obsession might tell you to hit a certain level, but you could end up losing thousands of dollars. What’s the cost? You might miss out on the subsequent tens of thousands of dollars in profit. Is this trade worth it?