2025-12-26 12:20:54

历史级别的加密期权到期来了——总规模在270-285亿美元这个量级（其中BTC占236-238亿，ETH占38亿）。但说实话，这玩意儿对当前的大趋势几乎没什么决定性影响。

为什么？很简单——这类重大事件早就在盘面里消化了。提前几天市场就开始反应，最近三天的下跌就是证明。今天反弹上来？别高兴太早，这多半是假突破罢了。

从技术面看，连续出现2到3个针状行情其实再正常不过。这种走势形态在期权交割前后经常上演。关键还是要看支撑位能否守住、上方压力位在哪——这才是决定后市方向的要素。期权到期只是一个时间节点，不是行情的转折点。市场的逻辑往往比事件本身更复杂得多。

BTC-1,75%

ETH-1,69%

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FadCatcher

· 13m ago

False breakouts are happening again. Will it break below this time?

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MetaverseHermit

· 12-26 12:44

This rebound thing is just a routine to trap retail investors, don't fall for it. Options news is everywhere; the big players have already digested it and moved on. Support levels are the key; let's see if the critical levels can hold. This fake breakout, next step might be to push down again. Feels like we're about to go through another shakeout, everyone get mentally prepared.

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CoffeeNFTrader

· 12-26 12:41

It's the same story again... 28 billion in options, do they really think it's just air? I'm tired of hearing "false breakout," let's wait and see the support level. Already digested it long ago? Then why is it still falling? The logic doesn't add up. It's just a gamble on whether the support level holds or not, don't overthink it. If a needle-like trend comes again, I'll seriously clear my positions.

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BlockchainWorker

· 12-26 12:39

Options settlement has long been digested; the quick rebound is actually more dangerous. It's another fake breakout trick; support levels are the key. These numbers look intimidating, but the market has already reacted early. Now, see how the support levels hold. Don't be fooled by the rebound; needle-like market movements are routine. Technical resistance levels are more important; the event itself doesn't have that much impact. It's already been digested; the rebound is mostly a false alarm.

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retroactive_airdrop

· 12-26 12:39

Over 27 billion? The number is impressive, but it's not really useful. It's been digested long ago. Fake breakout, don't be fooled. Support levels are the key; everything else is nonsense. Options expiration day, that's it, nothing special. Rebound? Haha, let's wait and see.

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MemeCoinSavant

· 12-26 12:38

according to my peer-reviewed analysis of needle formations & sentiment oscillation patterns, this $28.5B expiry event is statistically insignificant (p > 0.420). the market already priced this in three trading sessions ago, ngl. fake breakout szn fr fr

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