#美联储降息预期升温 Looking at this wave of market, Bitcoin is still in the turbulent period after sliding from a high position, and no clear reversal signal can be seen for now.

Put it on the 4-hour chart, after being blocked by the previous high, the price has been going down all the way, and the entire trend is stuck below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which itself has also started to turn down. This indicates that the rebound is weak, and the market is mainly digesting the previous sell-off. The market looks bearish, but interestingly, the line at 87300 has been repeatedly confirmed, and the lower shadow can often be seen, which means the bears have not really launched a stampede yet, but are more like delaying time to digest the pressure.

Looking at the 1-hour chart, the bottom has not continued to make new lows, and there seems to be a bit of stabilization in the short term. The problem is that each time it rebounds above 87500, it gets pressed down, and the highs are increasingly limited, which is a typical weak rebound—not a reversal.

The current thinking is very clear: in this volatile downtrend, don't think about bottom fishing, and definitely don't chase highs. When a rebound comes, consider shorting, and focus on the position and structure; that's the way to play.

Reference operation:

$BTC: Short in the range of 88000–88500, target at 86500.

$ETH: Short positions in the 2970–3000 range, target focus on 2900

The core discipline is: don't rush to catch the rebound bottom, and don't chase the top; choose a good position before taking action. In this kind of market, patience in waiting is often more important than the analysis itself.

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