2025-12-24 01:25:24

Want to determine whether the current market is real? Try using the reverse deduction method.

First, ask yourself: Is there a real macro driver behind this wave of ups and downs? Is it just a fluctuation of sentiment? Is the market trend itself extreme? As long as you reverse these few questions, you can get a rough estimate of a market's scale.

Look again to see if the direction has been fully explored. The key points to consider are three: Has the price already surged to the extreme position of the premium/discount (where hardly anyone is left to take over)? Have there been continuous reversal signals recently? Has there even been an opportunity for a counter-entry? If all three conditions are met, it can basically be judged that the current trend has reached its peak, and a counter-operation may be necessary going forward.

To put it simply, don't just follow the trend blindly. Take a closer look at whether the logic behind the market movements really holds up, whether the prices have reached extremes, and whether you can find confirming signals in the opposite direction. With all this fuss, can the market still deceive you?

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GateUser-5854de8b

· 12h ago

Listen, the reverse deduction method is indeed correct, but how many people actually use it? They are all armchair critics; at that moment, who wasn't caught up in their emotions?

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AirdropChaser

· 12h ago

Looks like another "Reverse Master" has appeared. Wait a minute, why do I feel like I’ve heard this logic before? The key is that someone really needs to grasp the reverse signal. Easier said than done, in practice the emotional side can block your mind. I just want to know how many people can truly resist the fear of missing out (FOMO).

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ReverseTradingGuru

· 12h ago

Haha, I've been using this reverse method for a long time, the problem is that most people simply can't do it... When following the trend, they can't even think to question themselves, only regretting after losing This round of rise and fall, I see it as pure emotion, with no real fundamental support When prices are extreme, it's time to reverse, it's that simple Sounds good, but executing it is hell.

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DataOnlooker

· 12h ago

The reverse deduction method is indeed reliable, much stronger than blindly following the trend. The key is still to see if the fundamentals can hold up. Is this wave of rise and fall really just emotion? Or is there real money driving it? Understanding these two can help avoid catching a falling knife. When the price rushes to the extreme position, basically no one follows. Once the reversal signal appears, it's time to pull out, don't wait for confirmation. To be honest, most people are still gambling rather than observing. This method sounds simple, but doing it is another matter. Not following the trend is one thing, but who can be completely rational in extreme market conditions? It all depends on whether you can seize the opportunity.

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FOMOmonster

· 12h ago

The reverse deduction method sounds sophisticated, but isn't it just asking yourself if you've been played for a sucker? That's right, but what I fear the most is getting FOMO halfway through the reverse deduction. The concept of extreme positions is too vague; who knows when it really hits the bottom? This theory works best during sideways markets, but becomes nonsense during bull-bear transitions. Is the logic sound? My logic is money go brrr. The key is still to let the candlesticks speak, don't overthink it. Every time it’s like this with reverse deduction, I still end up getting trapped.

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