2025-12-15 12:31:15

#以太坊行情技术解读 To all the longs, be cautious

My judgment still leans bearish.

Looking back at recent market movements, on the 12th, $BTC experienced a significant plunge, leaving a long shadow candle. In the following trading days, it oscillated repeatedly at low levels. Now it seems to have some signs of a rebound. However, on the 4-hour chart, although the candlesticks are gradually moving upward, there are many upper shadows, indicating some selling pressure above.

On the indicators side, both DIF and DEA are still below the zero line, and the MACD histogram is shrinking, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening, and the probability of a golden cross is increasing.

Specifically, the key levels are—

First wave: Short from the 90,000 to 90,000 range, targeting the 88,700 to 87,700 range

Second wave: Enter around 3,180 to 3,150, with targets moving up to 3,000 to 2,900

$ETH and $BTC should both be cautious.

ETH-0.08%

BTC0.34%

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InfraVibes

· 9h ago

Starting to draw lines again, always saying there's selling pressure, but what happens? The rebound is right in front of us, buddy.

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BlockchainRetirementHome

· 12-15 13:01

Ugh, it's the same story again... More upper shadows mean selling pressure, but I still find it hard to believe.

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PaperHandSister

· 12-15 13:01

Oh no, it's the same pattern again. Does a long shadow mean selling pressure? I think this rebound is a bit interesting... --- Golden cross is on the way, are you still holding a short position? Waiting to be crushed? --- I just want to ask, can it reach 8.77? Feels like this guy is too optimistic. --- No way, a few days ago, there were many people saying the rebound lacked strength, and now they want to short again? Getting a bit indecisive. --- 3000, 2900? Dream on, everyone... --- The bearish momentum has weakened, I already said that, why are you still bearish? Feeling a bit conflicted. --- A long shadow doesn't necessarily mean selling pressure; it could also be accumulation. Have you thought about that? --- I like this idea, better to be cautious, stability first. --- Wait, isn't a shrinking MACD a sign of a reversal? Your logic here is a bit off...

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TopBuyerForever

· 12-15 13:01

Coming back with the same story? Last time you said that, and it resulted in a direct reverse rally. Do you still dare to short now? Haha

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ProposalManiac

· 12-15 13:00

Hmm... This logic becomes interesting when viewed from a governance perspective. Your bearish judgment is essentially based on indicator game theory and consensus expectations, right? The problem is—when most people are bearish on the same level, the market mechanism design fails. There have been too many such cases in history where the collective consensus ultimately led to opposite sell-offs. Be careful not to become that artificially designed liquidity.

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DegenMcsleepless

· 12-15 12:59

Speaking of this rebound, it's really just a fake. A bunch of long shadows—what does that indicate? It just can't break down. There are too many people trapped above.

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JustHereForAirdrops

· 12-15 12:51

Oh no, it's the same bearish rhetoric again... But the shadow lines are indeed a bit fierce, everyone needs to hold on.

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LiquidityWitch