凌晨两点惊醒,屏幕里MINI那根+18%的大阳线闪得我眼睛生疼。群里已经炸了,各种「突破前高冲冲冲」的呐喊声此起彼伏。



但我没跟风——因为去年同样的场景里,我在"最强阳线"上被埋了5万U。这次不一样了。我看懂了主力在高位留下的两条"暗号",最后成功全身而退。

**First Signal: Massive High-Volume Fluctuations with Strange Volatility**

On December 11th, MINI surged to 0.89, with a single-day trading volume skyrocketing 7 times compared to the previous day. At first glance, it seemed like frantic buying, but the OBV indicator strangely stayed flat — something's off.

Even more suspicious was the market behavior. After a quick spike in the morning, it immediately retreated 3%, then was inexplicably pushed back up at midday. Repeatedly bouncing, as if someone was deliberately "faking a pullback," creating a false impression of breaking previous highs.

On-chain data exposed the truth: the top five addresses net outflowed 120 million MINI within 24 hours, while retail addresses saw a net inflow increase of 38%. In other words, chips are quietly changing hands — the old players are selling, the newcomers are buying.

I immediately shorted at 0.88, with a stop-loss set at 0.905. The next day, it indeed opened low at 0.82. I took profit immediately, earning 6 points and then leaving.

**Second Signal: The Higher the Price Goes, the "Stronger" and More Dangerous It Becomes**

Many people make the mistake of treating new highs as a sign of trend continuation. Little do they know, the main force needs to dress up the market beautifully to attract the last wave of buyers.

On that day at 0.89, I checked again: MACD was already showing divergence, RSI broke through 80. Normally, this indicates extreme overbought conditions, but it still stubbornly produced a bullish candle. From afar, it looked like a rocket launch; up close, it was just a fireworks show — a final burst before death.

A truly strong market makes you sleep well because it is sustained, steady, and not extreme. Fake strength always targets the craziest times, like 1 a.m., to pump the market, stimulating your FOMO and trying to trick you into catching the last wave.

**Core Logic: Beautiful K-lines don't equal the right direction**

Remember this: when the market looks so beautiful that you want to go all-in, don’t rush. Compare OBV and capital flow. If the K-line is performing a solo act, but volume and capital flow don’t match, then this brilliance is just the final act before curtain call.

Don’t be the only audience still clapping.
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TokenVelocityTraumavip
· 12-15 20:43
The lesson from losing 50,000 U last year was indeed costly. This time, being able to walk away unscathed is a long-term lesson learned. But honestly, there are many who only look at beautiful candlestick charts, and few who can compare on-chain data to perform reverse operations. OBV flattening with huge volume is indeed the routine of the big players. The early morning pump is just fishing; those who are more alert should have already run. MACD divergence combined with RSI overbought and still pushing is a very obvious move; the outcome will be the same. This kind of analysis is indeed helpful for beginners, saving them from being caught in another round of losses. Fund flow is the real truth; candlestick charts are just scripts created by the main forces. When there are many people, it’s often the most dangerous time. Remember that.
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TheShibaWhisperervip
· 12-14 19:57
Last year, I also bought in at 0.89 during that wave. Now, reading this article, I really regret not understanding it earlier. The OBV flattening detail is absolutely brilliant.
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StealthMoonvip
· 12-13 19:49
Oh my goodness, it's the same old trick again. I was also scammed last year. Seeing this kind of early morning pump makes me feel nauseous.
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WhaleMinionvip
· 12-13 19:49
Pulling the market late at night is really damn spooky; the trades with good sleep quality are truly good trades.
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LidoStakeAddictvip
· 12-13 19:44
It's the same pattern again—large-volume moves at high levels accompanied by strange fluctuations. I fell for it last year, and now I just react in the opposite direction. A painful lesson learned.
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ArbitrageBotvip
· 12-13 19:35
Just run at 6 points, your awareness is much better than mine --- Bro, your move this time is really awesome. I’m the fool still clapping --- Pumping at dawn is definitely doomed, I’ve memorized this rule --- On-chain data doesn’t lie, next time I’ll look at this too --- Last year, being buried with 50,000, how good was that mentality? If it were me, I’d have gone all in to revenge already --- The moment OBV flattens out, you should run, too detailed --- The fireworks show analogy is perfect, next time I see this scene, I’ll go short directly --- Why do I always get caught when I don’t understand MACD divergence at the top? --- The main force’s fake squeeze play is really slick, retail investors are always the last to act --- After watching, I only have one feeling: if you’re weak, don’t blame the market
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BtcDailyResearchervip
· 12-13 19:34
Last year's lesson of 50,000 U is now seen as the most expensive tuition fee. Only this time did I understand what true dumping means. When OBV was leveling off, I knew something was wrong. The volume was performing a戏 and the candlestick was dancing along, a典型的主力遛人套路. The midnight pump move was brilliant, just betting you can't sleep and go crazy. Looking at on-chain data really can expose many false appearances, this point is absolutely right. The MACD divergence at the top was the moment to run, but I insisted on waiting for RSI to hit 80 out of greed. Luckily, I wasn't buried.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 12-13 19:33
It's the same pattern again. Massive volume at a high level is a signal that the main force is offloading. You should have learned to read OBV by now.
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RebaseVictimvip
· 12-13 19:26
Last year's lessons were truly expensive; the $50,000 lesson has now become an ATM... I've seen through this fake strongman act a long time ago. Pumping the market in the early hours is just testing whether the retail investors still have bullets.
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