Investors please note that the current Bitcoin bull run may only last for about 18 months, and the time window is relatively limited. The main reason is that the U.S. election year could become a significant uncertainty for the crypto market.

Analyze the current political environment: Trump will be 79 years old when he takes office on January 20, and if he completes his term until 2029, he will reach the age of 83, with significant uncertainty regarding the possibility of re-election. More critically, the policy direction of the next president is currently completely unknown, which poses a major policy risk for the Bitcoin market.

From a timeline perspective, this bull run began around April 8 of this year, with the Bitcoin price at approximately $74,500. A key time node is mid-2026, particularly the midterm elections on November 3, 2026.

Once the election results are announced, market uncertainty will significantly increase. It is worth noting that the market often reacts in advance to political events, so the risk window will open before the actual election. Based on this analysis, the first quarter of 2026 may become a golden period for profit-taking, especially considering that the Federal Reserve may implement two interest rate cuts at that time to inject vitality into the economy, and the market is expected to seize this opportunity to create new highs.

In this market environment, investors need to closely monitor policy changes and political events, and prepare strategic plans in advance to cope with possible significant market fluctuations, ensuring their investment returns. The crypto market is full of opportunities, but policy risks cannot be ignored; reasonable planning is essential to achieve optimal returns in this cycle.