According to the CME ‘Fed Watch’, the probability of the Fed maintaining the Interest Rate unchanged in March is 95.5%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining the current Interest Rate unchanged in May is 78.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.8%.
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The probability of the Fed maintaining the Intrerest Rate unchanged in March before the release of the US CPI is 95.5%
According to the CME ‘Fed Watch’, the probability of the Fed maintaining the Interest Rate unchanged in March is 95.5%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining the current Interest Rate unchanged in May is 78.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.8%.