Prediction Market Feature Now Live on Gate App
As blockchain use cases continue to grow, prediction markets are drawing increased attention. Gate recently completed its integration with Polymarket, launching a dedicated entry point within the app. The feature is now in public beta.
With this integration, users can participate directly in a wide range of event-based prediction trades on the platform. In a prediction market, users buy Yes or No shares on the outcome of a specific event. After the event is resolved, holders of shares on the correct side receive the corresponding return.
Available market topics include:
Market prices adjust as trades occur, reflecting the collective judgment of participants on the likelihood of each event.
Event-Based Trading Gains Traction
Unlike traditional financial markets, prediction markets focus on event outcomes rather than stocks or commodities. This structure allows participants to turn their analysis and views into tradable assets.
For example, investors can express their views on events such as:
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Whether a team will win a match
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Whether a specific policy will pass
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Whether an industry will see major progress
Through the market mechanism, prices aggregate participants’ collective predictions about event probabilities. As more traders join, market information may become more robust.
Two Modes: For Both Newbies and Advanced Traders
To make prediction markets accessible to all experience levels, Gate offers two core operation modes.
Prediction Mode
Prediction Mode features an intuitive interface. The market displays event probabilities and price data directly, making it easy for users to understand market expectations.
Key features include:
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A streamlined interface
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Clear probability data
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Low entry barrier
Even users new to trading can quickly participate in event predictions.
Trading Mode
For experienced traders, the platform provides a full suite of trading tools. Trading Mode offers advanced market data and interfaces, including:
This mode enables strategic trading similar to traditional financial markets.
Two Participation Methods: Centralized and On-Chain
Gate’s prediction market supports two participation methods to meet diverse user needs.
Participate with Gate Account
Users simply update their Gate App to the required version to access prediction markets directly on the platform.
In this mode:
This method makes prediction markets easily accessible for regular traders.
Participate via Web3 Wallet
Users comfortable with blockchain can connect a Web3 wallet.
In this mode:
This option provides a more decentralized experience.
Diverse Event Markets
Polymarket currently offers a variety of event markets, allowing users to participate based on their interests or analysis.
Common categories include:
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Recommended hot events
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Sports markets
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Crypto industry events
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Macro-financial topics
The market page displays real-time prices and event probabilities. For example, if the Yes price for an event is 0.70, the market expects about a 70% chance for that outcome.
Users can hold shares until settlement or trade them as prices fluctuate.
To enhance the trading experience, Gate integrates a range of analysis and trading tools into the prediction market. Users can access visualized market data, including probability charts, K-line price trends, and Order Book data, providing clear insights into market dynamics for informed decision-making.
Trading methods include Market and Limit orders, as well as a share trading mechanism for greater flexibility. The platform also features Express trading, allowing users to place orders directly from the market list page without entering individual market pages—streamlining the process and boosting efficiency.
Advanced Market Structures
In addition to basic Yes/No prediction markets, some events offer more advanced structures. For instance, sports markets may include spread bets, enabling users to predict results across different score ranges. This approach adds variety to trading strategies and deepens market liquidity.
Integrated Asset and Trade Management
For easier asset management, Gate integrates prediction market assets into the exchange account system. Users can manage funds and trading records in a single interface. On the Assets page, users can view their USDT balance, prediction market holdings, and related orders and trades for a transparent overview of their portfolio.
When an event resolves, users can claim their returns directly on the platform. Winning shares are converted into Stablecoins at a 1:1 ratio and automatically credited to the user’s account, making settlement straightforward and intuitive.
The Growth Potential of Prediction Markets
As event-based trading gains momentum, prediction markets are emerging as a promising financial innovation. By combining market sentiment and trading mechanisms, prediction markets reflect collective expectations and may serve as valuable references for information analysis and price discovery.
Looking ahead, prediction markets can expand into more global events, incorporate real-time data and analytics, and continually optimize trading interfaces and market depth. As features and participation grow, prediction markets are poised to play a larger role in information aggregation and market pricing.
Summary
Gate’s integration of Polymarket into the app officially brings prediction markets into the exchange ecosystem. With both an intuitive prediction mode and a comprehensive trading mode, users can participate in a wide range of event trades. Prediction markets offer a new way to trade, letting participants turn their outlook on future events into trading opportunities. As event market types and trading tools continue to expand, prediction markets are set to unlock new use cases in the crypto industry and forge stronger links between information and trading.
