What Is Axelar? AXL Token Price Analysis

In today’s increasingly fragmented blockchain landscape, cross-chain interoperability has become Web3 The key infrastructure of the world. As the core technology representative in this track, the native Token of the Axelar network, AXL, not only serves as the fuel for the protocol’s operation but has also become a potential asset of market interest after the upgrade of its Token economics.

Current Price Situation: Consolidating in a Low Range

As of June 19, 2025, the AXL price hovers around $0.37 (approximately HK$2.89), having decreased about 5% in the past 24 hours and slightly dropped 0.07% in the past month.

Compared to the historical high of $4.87 set on June 10, 2025, the current price has fallen by 41% and is in a recent low range.

The technical analysis shows that the key support zone is between 0.30 and 0.36 USD, the 50-day moving average (0.36 USD) forms a short-term resistance, while the 200-day moving average (0.48 USD) remains an important medium-term pressure point.

Future Outlook: Growth Blueprint Amid Divergence

The market for AXL’s Price Prediction Significant differentiation is evident, reflecting its stage in the game between technological value and market sentiment:

• By the end of 2025: conservative estimates fall in the range of $0.75 (Coincodex), while optimistic models like CoinLore project up to $2.33, representing a potential increase of 362%.
• Mid-term (2026-2027): As cross-chain adoption increases, some institutions have set a target of 1.00 - 1.50 dollars. If it breaks through the historical high of 0.60 dollars and stabilizes, it will open up upward space.
• Long-term vision (2030): If Axelar captures more than 30% of the cross-chain market share, driven by deflation and ecological expansion, the price may hit $10 - $15.

This discrepancy in predictions highlights the uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market and reveals the multiple possibilities for the development of the Axelar ecosystem.

Value Pivot: Three Engines Driving Valuation Reconstruction

The value logic of AXL is based on the dual innovation of technological practicality and economic model:

Cobalt Upgrade Ignites Deflationary Model

The Cobalt upgrade completed in February 2025 introduced a burning mechanism: 98% of each cross-chain transaction fee is automatically burned, with only 2% going to the community reward pool. This design positions AXL as a deflationary asset, continuously reducing the circulating supply.

Ecological expansion creates rigid demand

To connect a new public chain to the Axelar network, AXL must be purchased and locked in advance, injecting into the reward pool to incentivize validators. Each new chain added results in a substantial consumption of AXL, with demand increasing as the network expands.

Real World Assets (RWA) Narrative

Collaborating with Centrifuge to promote the tokenization of real assets, bringing traditional financial scenarios into the cross-chain ecosystem. This layout is seen as a long-term valuation support point, potentially opening up a market worth trillions of dollars.

Risk Warning: Hidden Reefs on the Path Ahead

Despite the promising outlook, investors must remain vigilant against threefold risks:

• Token unlocking pressure: The token unlocking window will arrive in 2026, and potential selling pressure may impact the market.
• Regulatory variables: Global stablecoin policies are tightening, which may affect the efficiency of cross-chain asset flows.
• Intense competition: LayerZero, Cosmos and other competitors are accelerating technology iterations, intensifying the market share battle.

In addition, AXL and Bitcoin price The correlation of fluctuations reaches 0.75, and changes in the macro environment may amplify its volatility.

Market Signals: Capital Preference and Technical Indicators

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown the characteristic of “mainstream coins being stable and small coins being active.” The average increase in tokens ranked 301-400 by market capitalization reached 46.85%, indicating a shift of capital towards high-narrative assets.

Although AXL has not entered the top of the gainers, its technical indicators show a neutral stance:

• RSI 14 is at 55.36, not in the overbought or oversold range.

• The volatility remains at 7.85%, at a recent low.

The market has not yet formed a consensus direction expectation, and the volatile pattern may continue.

Practical Strategies: Layout Paths for Different Roles

• Short-term Traders: Focus on observing breakthrough signals in the $0.30 - $0.36 range, and holding above the 50-day moving average can be seen as a technical buying point.
• Long-term Holders: Accumulate positions in batches below $0.30, tracking quarterly burn data and RWA implementation progress.
• Eco Participants: Become a validator node by staking AXL to earn a share of network transaction fees, with current annual returns of about 8%-12% (depending on the platform).

Conclusion: Anchoring Value in the Wave of Interoperability

The price game of AXL is essentially a reflection of the value in the cross-chain interoperability arena. With the improvement of the Axelar Virtual Machine (AVM) development tools and the accumulation of $700 million in cross-chain transaction volume, its technological moat is deepening.

Despite facing market volatility and competitive pressure in the short term, the triple drivers of the deflationary model, the necessity of chain expansion, and the RWA narrative provide unique fundamental support for AXL.

The future of blockchain is multi-chain, and the protocols that connect them will ultimately become the hub of new value flows.