TVBee

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On Polymarket, the odds of Iran's current Supreme Leader—Khamenei—being replaced have surged.
The prediction of him stepping down before December 31st has reached 70%,
before June 30th has reached 62%,
before March 31st has reached 45%,
and there is also a 10% chance of him stepping down before February 28th.
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The highest art of trading is only one thing — bowing out gracefully.
Knowing when to exit is crucial.
In short- to medium-term trading, if you are always fully invested, whether you profit first and then lose, or vice versa, you are likely to end up overall losing. On the other hand, taking profits promptly after making money can lock in gains.
In the long term, people have learned to position themselves early during several bull markets and to sell during the peak. However, this round of harvesting is mainly done by experienced old-timers. If you reduced your holdings in 2025, you would stil
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The highest art of trading is only one thing — bowing out.
Knowing when to exit is crucial.
In short- to medium-term trading, if you are always fully invested, whether you make a profit first and then lose, or profit first and then lose again, you are likely to overall lose money. Conversely, taking profits promptly after making money can lock in gains.
In the long term, people have learned to position themselves early during several bull markets and to sell during the peak. However, this round of harvesting is mainly done by these experienced old chives. If you reduced your holdings in 2025,
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The expectation for Trump regarding Iran has been too long.
Instead, it feels like a real war breaking out is not surprising at all. Can it still be considered a bearish factor?
If it drops, can it fall a lot?!
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Four sentences for most bloggers and crypto friends:
Rely on Guangzi to survive,
Rely on trading to get rich.
But not rely on trading to survive( except for a few trading experts),
And it certainly shouldn't be relying on Guangzi to get rich.
Please ponder carefully.
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Don't hesitate to hold onto altcoins,
Cherish the early stages of a bear market.
When there's profit, cut it immediately,
Don't wait until there's no profit and only tears.
A poem I wrote to myself, "Breaking the Rags"
Didn't sell in October, didn't sell in November, didn't sell in December.
Finally cleared out at the end of January.
Missed out on quite a bit of profit, but avoided the big drop in February. 😭😭😭
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FreeLifevip:
Shanzhai (fake/clone) products are no longer usable.
It's just DeerCoin clearing out BTC.
It may not be a bottom signal, nor a sign of a big drop.
Whether it's DeerCoin, Bitmain, Shima, or Canaan... the era of mining giants led by mining companies dominating BTC is already history.
Wu Jisai, who is clearing out BTC, is probably similar to V God selling ETH—both are influential figures but lack decision-making power.
BTC2.39%
ETH2.4%
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Daily small amount withdrawals can be lossless using Alipay.
After CRS, the main method shifted to OTC withdrawals. The chance of Alipay account freezing is low, and bank risk control is even lower.
After receiving the payment, use a family member's Alipay to generate a collection code, and each payment below 2000 yuan can be withdrawn for free.
If you have 20,000 yuan, you can withdraw it for free in 10 transactions.
For larger amounts, it gets a bit complicated—20,000 yuan requires 100 payments. Of course, if you don't mind the hassle, making 10 payments a day for 10 days will do the
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In the past two weeks, gold, U.S. stocks, and BTC seem to be moving in sync, just with different amplitudes.
There’s no such thing as a truly reliable safe-haven asset...😪
BTC2.39%
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狗庄你快死吧PleaseHurryvip:
Gold is doing a bit better.
During the New Year, relatives at home ask what we do, and here is a standard answer.
We can just say that we do some freelance work online. No need to go into more detail.
If relatives insist on asking, those who understand technology can say they write some connection programs, and those who don't understand technology can say they write articles about connections.
No mention of cryptocurrencies or trading.
This kind of income is relatively flexible, not subject to disdain, but also not like trading where you can get rich quickly, and not something to envy.
Relatives are a group of people wh
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Soul question:
Which is more unappealing, the Ether or the Spring Festival Gala?
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This round's BTC peak was almost impressive. Is it really just an illusion?
Is $60,000 BTC the bottom??
Many are saying that this round's BTC high didn't meet expectations. Is this really a market illusion?
The Bitcoin MVRV might provide an answer.
┈┈➤A simple overview of MVRV
Bitcoin MVRV can be used as one of the indicators to measure BTC bubbles.
MV: Market Value.
RV: Realized Market Value, which sums the value increments( or negative increments) of each BTC movement on the chain.
MVRV = MV / RV
╰┈✦Most likely, MVRV > 1
Because of CEX and ETF, many BTC transactions haven't occurred on-chain
BTC2.39%
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Does anyone feel that this bear market is a bit enjoyable?
This round clearly dropped very quickly, and although the rebound is weaker, it's better to suffer a short pain than a long one.
Is it a feeling of dying early and being reborn early?
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Does the Spring Festival market that some KOLs are talking about actually exist?
Last year, Lunar New Year's Eve was on January 28th, and the peak was reached on January 20th. It fluctuated for a few days afterward, and started to decline on January 31st.
As long as more than two cycles are identified, it will be ahead of schedule...
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Non-farm data, not a single good news!
The unemployment rate is below expectations and lower than the previous value.
Non-farm employment exceeded expectations and is higher than the previous value.
Annual and monthly wage growth surpassed expectations, which may impact CPI.
The labor force participation rate also exceeded expectations and is higher than the previous value.
U.S. employment has not continued to worsen, and wages are slightly above expectations.
Recession and rate cuts are further away from us...
Only the Consumer Confidence Index for January is declining. As for the US data, we
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FreeLifevip:
Happy New Year 🧨
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