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Expert Analyst Reveals How to Trade BTC Cycles and Predicts When the Price Will Reach $215,000
A crypto analyst has laid out a new roadmap for Bitcoin (BTC), outlining his understanding of past events and forecasting the market’s possible next moves over the coming months. The analyst also shared insights into market psychology during key stages of the current cycle.
While revealing how to trade in this volatile environment, the analyst also predicts that Bitcoin could soon hit a new all-time high of 215,000 dollars. His overall analysis suggests that Bitcoin may still be in a bull market despite recent pullbacks, and he notes that analysts say it has entered a cyclical bearish phase.
Looking Back at Bitcoin’s Prior Volatile Cycles
In an X post on April 5, crypto market analyst Nehal shared his Bitcoin roadmap for 2026 and some trading strategies for navigating this cycle. The analyst presented a sentiment chart capturing the investor-psychology phases each month during the bull and bear markets, highlighting how these emotions can drive trading decisions when the market is volatile
Starting in February, Nehal described that month as a classic bear trap. He noted that during this period, Bitcoin’s price remains low because many investors are still skeptical and doubt that any upcoming rally will be able to sustain itself. At the same time, smart investors silently accumulate positions while others hesitate, viewing any small uptick as a fakeout.
As March comes to an end, the analyst sees the market undergoing a final shakeout. Here, weaker-handed investors are forced to sell off amid a downtrend, even as the momentum of growth begins to turn upward. By the end of the month, the chart shows that optimism is increasing among investors, who begin to believe the rally is real, setting the stage for a stronger upswing
Now it is April, and Nehal believes that the long-awaited altcoin season is beginning, signaling a shift of capital from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies. The chart shows that during this phase, excitement and fear of missing out (FOMO) are expected to dominate the market as investors hold longer-term positions and confidence gradually reaches its peak before BTC hits a new all-time high.
What Happens Next for the Market?
Looking toward May, Nehal predicts Bitcoin could reach its next peak near 215,000 dollars, marking an increase of more than 200% from the current price of 69,000 dollars. During this phase, early holders may start taking profits while late buyers flood in. The chart shows that euphoria will peak in this stage as greed spreads and many traders, unfortunately, end up buying near the top
In June, Nehal predicts that a bullish trap could appear, giving late buyers the illusion that the rally is still ongoing. His chart shows that although the price may rebound in the short term, anxiety will increase as leveraged positions may have to face mounting pressure. Fundamentally, Bitcoin traders who enter the market near the peak may begin to realize losses, signaling the start of a downturn.
Finally, in July and August, the market is expected to shift into a distribution phase, which could lead to a bear market. Nehal’s chart shows that denial may gradually fade around this time as investors blame external factors. At the same time, Bitcoin may finally hit the price bottom, as late buyers are likely to dump their holdings and exit the market in disappointment
In concluding his analysis, Nehal emphasizes the importance of trading smartly and maintaining liquidity. He also advises traders to prepare in advance and position themselves strategically, warning that failing to do so could lead to major losses.