Glassnode says the Bitcoin market has reached a stage of extreme apathy and exhaustion, with volatility metrics and several key on-chain metrics reaching all-time lows
Amid an unprecedented drop in volatility in the Bitcoin (BTC) market, long-term holders have shown enthusiastic confidence in their asset. Meanwhile, “flow accounts” are responsible for only 2.56 million bitcoins (BTC) in circulation, the lowest level this market cycle.
The supply of Bitcoin (BTC) long-term holders is regularly hitting new all-time highs, while the overall market enters a phase of “extreme apathy and exhaustion.” Today’s “Diamond Hands” hold 14,600,000 Bitcoin (BTC), the highest level ever for this metric.
Tribes of short-term holders continue to capitulate. Their share fell to 2,560,000 Bitcoin (BTC), an absolute low for the fourth Bitcoin (BTC) cycle. This group of holders has been selling their Bitcoin (BTC) holdings since early April 2023. As a result, the overall sentiment in the Bitcoin (BTC) community remains strong, according to analysts: Overall, this suggests that confidence among Bitcoin investors remains very high and that few are willing to liquidate their holdings.
At the same time, volatility fell to multi-year lows. In the past seven years, the Bollinger Bands have only turned lower once in January 2023. Ethereum’s (ETH) volatility metrics over different time periods follow the same pattern, and total transaction fees are also shrinking.
Overall, investors are reluctant to move funds on-chain at this stage. However, we cannot say that the entire picture is dark. The realized market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) has been growing since January 2023, with capital slowly entering the network. The Glassnode experts aren’t surprised at all by this: Bitcoin (BTC) is simply behaving through “bearish market hangovers” like previous cycles.
The Glassnode expert recalled that the realized cap is climbing, but by a small amount, indicating that the future may still be a very boring, volatile, sideways market. Additionally, the vast majority of holders are underwater at current prices, making the drop in volatility even more sensitive to market participants.
(Data source: Vladislav Sopov)