- XRP price is struggling to establish direction amid declining demand from both retail and institutional investors: There has been decreased interest in XRP derivatives, with futures open interest volume reaching approximately $2.39 billion on Tuesday and Monday. Looking at the past, open interest volume rose to $2.87 billion on March 17, but has declined amid continued risk-off sentiment. CoinGlass data also shows that retail investor interest is significantly lower than the all-time high of $10.94 billion, the level that coincided with XRP reaching $3.66, its current all-time high in July. If derivatives demand does not recover steadily, XRP recovery will be extremely difficult. Daily trading information for XRP futures contracts | Source: CoinGlass Similarly, demand for XRP spot index ETFs has declined, with weak activity on Monday. Although XRP recorded inflows of $1.98 million on Friday, overall sentiment remains weak. SoSoValue data indicates there have been only two days of inflows to U.S.-listed index ETFs since March 6. Total inflows are $1.21 billion, with net assets under management at $1.01 billion. XRP ETF flows | Source: CoinGlass A report issued by CoinShares on Monday on capital flows related to cryptocurrencies noted that the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rate cuts in 2026 continues to impact the market, alongside uncertainty stemming from Middle East conflict. The CoinShares report stated that "digital asset investment products recorded inflows of $230 million last week, marking a notable slowdown compared to previous weeks. While prevailing opinion attributes this slowdown to escalating Iran-related conflict and its negative impact on sentiment, we believe the more likely cause is the market's interpretation of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting as 'hawkish hold.'" $XRP ‌ #GateOfficiallyIntegratesPolymarket

After a protracted legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), XRP is poised for growth, with its ecosystem dedicated to revolutionizing cross-border payments through the XRPL platform. Chief Executive Officer Brad Garlinghouse highlighted strong performance in the fourth quarter of 2024, noting that five U.S. companies have submitted applications for exchange-traded products (ETPs) related to XRP, stablecoin RLUSD has reached a market cap of $100 million, and on-chain XRPL decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume has surpassed $1 billion. CoinCodex's price prediction indicates that XRP's price could reach $5.49 by 2030.

XRP closed Q1 2026 with a return rate of -23.7%, which historically has been a precursor to volatile Q2 performance. Analysis of past 13 years of data indicates that Q2 rarely remains neutral, either experiencing sharp rallies like the 1109% surge in 2017 or sharp declines like the -59.4% drop in 2022. April's average return rate reached a historic high of +24.8%, while June's historical average return rate stands at -5.10%. Given that XRP is currently oversold, the upcoming quarter represents a critical inflection point: April could see a bull market rebound or could extend the downtrend.