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🇺🇸 ⚖️ The U.S. Iran conflict has cost $25,000,000,000 so far, per Pentagon officials.
Oil markets and risk sentiment are watching.
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⚖️ Fed holds rates steady. Three members dissented against keeping an easing bias. most internal pushback in years.
Inflation still "elevated" per the statement. Rate cuts aren't coming as fast as markets priced.
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The Fed just held rates steady. but 2 governors voted to cut.
Highest internal dissent since 1992.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Lummis warns the current House, Senate, and White House alignment on crypto legislation is rare and may not last beyond 2030.
CLARITY Act window is open. The question is whether Congress moves before the politics shift.
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🇮🇷 Polymarket consensus locked: "Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?"
No priced at 100% with $47,658,449 total volume.
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TD Cowen's John Blackledge: Big Tech AI capex may have peaked.
AWS and Google Cloud growth are now the make-or-break metric. Miss either, and expectations are fragile enough to trigger another selloff.
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🇦🇪 Bitcoin ($BTC)'s $82K ceiling isn't arbitrary.
Multiple $3,300,000 sell walls stacked between $80,400 and $82,000. UAE's OPEC exit spooked risk appetite, real rates still climbing. The tape's telling you who's in control.
BTC-0.9%
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Polymarket consensus locked: "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?"
No priced at 100% with $48,300,279 total volume.
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🇺🇸 The "safe haven" playbook is breaking down.
US Treasuries selling off DURING equity crashes used to be impossible. Now it's the pattern. Dollar hegemony doesn't disappear overnight, but the bond market is already repricing the risk.
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Powell's Fed tenure ends in May 2026. Started under Trump 1.0, exits under Trump 2.0. The rate cycle bookending his 8 years: near-zero to 5.5%, back down to 4.25%.
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JUST IN: First prediction market ETFs could launch as early as next week.
Roundhill's SEC filing shows a May 5 effective date, clearing the path for regulated prediction market exposure in a traditional fund wrapper.
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Kevin Warsh headed to Senate vote for Fed Chair.
He's a known hawk who opposed QE during 2008. If confirmed, expect tighter policy longer.
Risk assets (crypto included) aren't pricing this in yet.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Lawmakers push Trump to block Chinese EVs from the U.S. market. Tesla shares rising premarket.
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BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump rejects Iran's diplomatic plea, calls the country in a "state of collapse."
Risk-off pressure building across oil and crypto as military speculation rises.
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🚨 BREAKING
SYNDICATE EXPLOITED VIA COMMONS BRIDGE COMPROMISE. $SYND DOWN 36%.
TEAM IS NOW WORKING WITH SECURITY FIRMS TO INVESTIGATE.
FUNDS RECOVERY STATUS: UNKNOWN.
SYND-38.86%
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JUST IN: Powell's final Fed meeting ends with rates held at 4.25%-4.50%.
Markets now pricing first cut for September as Waller takes the chair.
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Robinhood shares down nearly 10% after Q1 earnings miss. Crypto revenue and volume both fell close to 50% quarter-over-quarter.
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JUST IN: burns $370,000,000 in $PUMP and commits 50% of next year's revenue to buybacks.
PUMP-4.74%
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The Fed's 2% inflation target may not survive the next policy review.
Former Kansas City Fed chief Hoenig says Powell's successor could scrap the goal entirely, just as Warsh prepares to take the helm.
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Everyone says AI is lifting all boats.
Teradyne shares down 6% ahead of earnings despite analysts flagging AI-driven growth as the core tailwind.
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