GateUser-272e4d07

Today feels like a mean reversion day. Nothing has fundamentally changed and it’s the last day of the month/quarter so ppl taking profits to ‘paint the PnL’

Thinking $SPY gap fill to $645 then enter or add to any shorts

This is 100% how it ends btw The reason energy longs are so precarious is he could do this any time

Long $PALL. It’s come into major support pretty quickly and will be high beta if PM run resumes. Hitting three support levels of price, 50W and 200W SMAs Tight stop, medium conviction

Sold 1/3 XLE, this has been a nice rip. Close to target and Trump is getting desperate so who knows what happens

$BTC holding the channel so far. These are usually bear flags. It’s holding because of SPY

Bro is giving trading advice now

$COAL is the best looking chart out there and is going to be substituted in Asia for the O&G shortages

It seems Iran can afford to do nothing while watching the 10Y and oil prices rise. No incentive to rush negotiations until prices are higher and they have more leverage

Good for $FCG

Many charts confirming what April is going to look like Long Energy - XLE FCG COAL Short - Equities PMs are tricky. Such a good macro env for gold but we’ll see

Peace talks have started, the gap is large but Trump has every incentive to taco 🌮

This is the guy Trump’s admin is negotiating with

With Nasdaq and NYSE doing the same thing, tradfi will have Hyperliquid competitors. The Tradfi platforms would do far more volume as institutional capital will trust them If Hyperliquid can get sufficient volume on tradfi names, it could survive as the platform for leverage

10T or 33% of US debt matures over next year Trump admin cannot afford rising rates, Iran knows the 10Y is their weakness

I have a feeling Trump is going to strike a deal (that isn’t a good one) with Iran and declare victory. Markets will rally off this Only question is do we resume down only when bad economic data continues to print bc the war weakened everyone

$MSFT at an interesting spot. It hasn’t traded below its longer term 200W or 50M SMAs in over a decade

But they won’t

$IBIT still highly correlated to $IGV despite everything going on Market still sees bitcoin as software