#美联储政策与经济指标 Just saw that the US September core PCE price index annual rate was announced at 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%, hitting a three-month low. This data has a positive impact on market sentiment and may ease the Federal Reserve's rate hike pressure. From on-chain data, Bitcoin has indeed experienced a slight short-term increase, rising above $91,000. However, I believe we still need to observe subsequent economic indicators and the Fed's stance to determine whether this will lead to sustained positive momentum. It is recommended to continue monitoring capital flows and large investor

#加密货币市场周期分析 Analyze this news, I believe the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision will have a key impact on the market by the end of the year. Although the S&P 500 index is approaching historical highs, overly dovish rate cuts may imply poor economic conditions and instead trigger market concerns. It is important to closely monitor upcoming employment and inflation data, as these will be key indicators for market direction. From on-chain data, currently, there are no obvious anomalies in capital flows, but if the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance, it could trigger a wave of on-c

#稳定币发展 Analyzing recent on-chain data from HuiWang Payment, it was found that its USDT balance has sharply decreased. Since October, the Ethereum network activity has almost exhausted USDT, while the Tron network has shown a gradual shutdown. At the end of November, the daily USDT transfer-out volume plummeted from 41.83 million to 7.17 million, and completely ceased small withdrawals after December 1. Currently, only 990,000 USDT remain on the chain, which aligns with the official announcement of ceasing operations. This large-scale capital outflow pattern typically indicates a potential liq

#比特币价格分析 Observed that Bitcoin recently broke below the $90,000 mark, mainly influenced by liquidation pressure, weak ETF demand, and macroeconomic uncertainties. Data shows approximately $420 million in long positions were forcibly liquidated within 24 hours, and ETF capital has been flowing out for six consecutive weeks, totaling over $2.8 billion. From on-chain fund flows, long-term holders are still increasing their holdings, but a quarter of the circulating supply is in loss. Currently, the $90,000 to $86,000 range is a key support level; if it is broken, further declines may be triggere

#中心化交易所策略调整 In-depth analysis of this witch attack incident. By tracking the flow of funds, it was found that over 1000 wallet addresses originated from the same entity, accounting for more than 70% of the total participating addresses. This large-scale address manipulation severely impacted the fairness of the presale.
From on-chain data, the attacker used strategies such as dispersing funds and transferring in batches to cover their tracks. However, one key wallet exposed its identity information. This reminds us that even carefully designed attacks can leave clues.
It is recommended that p

#加密货币市场分析 Noted Solana co-founder’s view on the total market capitalization of the crypto market. He predicts that the total market cap will continue to rise but will eventually evolve into a battle for market share among blockchains. This perspective warrants in-depth analysis.
From on-chain data, recent observations show a continuous inflow of funds into mainstream public chain ecosystems. However, it is important to note that this capital flow is not evenly distributed but shows a clear concentration trend. Some public chains with technological advantages and application scenarios have att

#Binance业务调整 After reading this news, I find XMAQUINA's TGE plan quite interesting. They are preparing to sell 110 million DEUS tokens, accounting for 11% of the total supply, mainly to fund the DAO for continued acquisition of humanoid robot company shares. This model of financing physical business through token sales is worth paying attention to. However, the details of the token sale have not yet been announced, so close follow-up on subsequent announcements is necessary. Additionally, over 95% support indicates that the community reacts positively to this proposal. Overall, this TGE may h

#代币化资产 This debate was truly精彩纷呈. CZ and Schiff, two industry giants, engaged in a heated exchange on stage, each showcasing their own tactics. One side is the traditionalists insisting on the value of gold, while the other is the innovators embracing the future of Bitcoin. Both sides presented many compelling arguments.
What’s particularly interesting is that Schiff is actually involved in a tokenized gold project, which is quite unexpected. However, he still insists that Bitcoin has no intrinsic value and is purely speculative. CZ emphasized Bitcoin’s scarcity and utility, believing it to b

#比特币市场分析 Bitcoin's short-term rally yesterday was indeed quite strong, with the 4-hour K-line significantly deviating from the standard line at $89,923. From a technical perspective, the current stage carries higher risk for chasing longs. The price has already touched the 4th expected line, and further upward attack becomes more difficult. The key support remains at $89,923; as long as it does not break below, there is still a chance in the future. On the daily chart, the K-line is approaching the bearish trend line at $93,958. A breakout could trigger a larger-scale rebound, with upper targ

#Kalshi预测市场争议 Kalshi has been making frequent moves recently, first completing a $1 billion funding round at a $11 billion valuation, and then partnering with several mainstream media outlets. These actions indicate that prediction markets are moving toward mainstream adoption, which could impact traditional financial markets. Data shows that both Kalshi and Polymarket have reached new monthly trading volume highs, with total trading volume exceeding $45 billion, demonstrating increasing user acceptance of these platforms. Notably, Kalshi co-founder Lopes Lara has become the world's youngest

#比特币市场分析 The latest data shows that Bitcoin faces two key resistance levels: $99,000 and $122,000. These resistance levels are derived from MVRV extreme deviation price range analysis. From a technical perspective, these two price points may become the main obstacles to Bitcoin's short-term rise. Investors should closely monitor the突破 of these two key levels to assess the future market trend. At the same time, they should also consider other on-chain indicators and macro factors to comprehensively evaluate the market conditions.

#加密货币监管 Seeing this news, I believe that this move by US regulators is highly significant. Allowing leveraged spot cryptocurrency trading to enter the federal regulatory framework fills a long-standing regulatory gap. This could have several important impacts: firstly, trading volume may shift from offshore platforms to domestically regulated platforms, increasing market transparency and investor protection. Secondly, the clearinghouse mechanism helps reduce counterparty risk and enhances market stability. However, specific implementation details such as leverage ratio limits are still to be

#加密预测市场发展 Polymarket's return to the US market has caught my attention. By analyzing its development trajectory, it is evident that the crypto prediction market is gradually moving towards compliance. Polymarket first acquired the licensed platform QCX to lay a regulatory foundation for re-entering the US market, then tested the waters with a Beta mode, and now officially launched the US version of the app. This series of actions demonstrates their efforts and determination in compliance.
From a data perspective, Polymarket's user base may experience significant growth. As one of the largest

After analyzing the predictions made by major institutions for the cryptocurrency market in 2025 last year, several obvious patterns emerged: the more predictions made, the lower the accuracy; specific price points were almost all predicted incorrectly; however, judgments regarding improvements in policy environment were generally quite accurate. This reflects that institutions have a fairly accurate understanding of the industry's development direction, but their ability to predict specific data is limited.
It is worth noting that most institutions are overly optimistic about Bitcoin's price

#比特币价格分析 Recent Bitcoin price experienced a sharp fluctuation followed by a rebound, attracting widespread market attention. From the data, BTC has risen 10% to over $93,000, with market capitalization once again approaching $2 trillion. More notably, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink revealed that some sovereign wealth funds are taking the opportunity to gradually buy Bitcoin, increasing holdings in the $80,000 range to establish long-term positions. This trend indicates that institutional investors are optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. Considering the current macro environment, Bitcoin

#美联储货币政策前景 According to the latest economic data, the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy seems to be subtly changing. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts that the Federal Reserve will gradually cut interest rates to 3.25%-3.5%, and the futures market has increased the probability of a rate cut in December to 87.6%. These signals suggest that market expectations for a policy shift by the Federal Reserve are strengthening.
At the same time, it is worth noting that the OECD has raised its forecast for US economic growth in 2025-2026. This ma

#比特币价格预测 The latest news indicates that the market is concerned about the arrival of a new "crypto winter." From on-chain data, there are no signs of large-scale sell-offs at the moment, but funds are indeed gradually flowing out. Regarding Bitcoin price predictions, the probability of dropping below $80,000 in December on Polymarket has risen to 55%, reflecting a pessimistic market sentiment.
However, I believe it is still premature to determine that we are entering a winter. Compared to previous cycles, there have been no major black swan events like Mt. Gox or FTX this time. The current ad

#美国加密货币监管 Noted that Russia may relax cryptocurrency regulations. This development is worth monitoring and could indicate a shift in the global crypto regulatory landscape. From on-chain data, no obvious changes in capital flow have been observed so far. However, if the policy is implemented, it is expected to boost trading activity for addresses related to Russia. It is recommended to continue tracking the fund movements of large Russian wallets and contract interactions, as these may serve as leading indicators of policy implementation. At the same time, remain vigilant for potential risks