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Most people believe the stock market crash of 1973 happened during the oil crisis.
Not quite.
The real crash occurred after the crisis was over.
Here's a simple explanation of what happened at the time:
In October 1973, Egypt and Syria attacked Israel.
Arab countries reduced oil supplies and stopped shipping oil to the United States.
Oil prices soared from $3 per barrel to $12.
The stock market began to decline, but the drop wasn't too severe.
Then a ceasefire agreement was reached.
The oil embargo ended in March 1974.
The market even rebounded for a time. People felt relaxed again.
But then the real crash came.
From April to October 1974, the S&P 500 index fell about 48%.
Why?
Because the damage from the crisis had already been done.
Inflation had risen.
Interest rates were climbing.
Companies were struggling due to sharply increased costs.
But at the time, the market hadn't fully realized this.
Now, think about today's situation.
Oil prices have surged significantly.
Inflation remains high.
The Federal Reserve can't easily cut interest rates.
But the stock market remains resilient.
Just like at the end of 1973.
First, the shock occurs.
Then the market ignores it.
Then the crisis seems to be over.
And only afterward does the real damage become apparent.
History won't repeat exactly, but the feeling might be similar.
Stay vigilant.