The Middle East conflict is unlikely to be resolved in the short term


1. Although there are realistic conditions for a reconciliation—if the U.S. lifts sanctions on Iran and agrees to Iran's "rights" in the Strait of Hormuz for a period of time (to compensate for certain economic losses), and Iran commits to peaceful nuclear energy use and reduces uranium enrichment purity.
2. However, it is difficult for the U.S. to relinquish its dominant stance and make substantial concessions. Meanwhile, Iran has suffered significant losses in the conflict and urgently needs to explain to its people (without offering certain economic benefits as compensation, it cannot justify itself). These two factors are the biggest obstacles to a ceasefire. Additionally, regional powers like Israel may also stir trouble, and multiple rigid conflicts are intertwined, determining that the Middle East situation will remain in a prolonged tug-of-war, making quick peace unlikely.
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