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Iran Ceasefire Eases Risk Aversion, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Reignite
The US and Iran have reached a ceasefire agreement, easing Middle East tensions, which has cooled market risk sentiment and boosted risk assets. Traders are readjusting their expectations for Federal Reserve policy, with rate cut forecasts warming for the year.
As geopolitical risks diminish, the market is focusing on US economic data. Energy prices are stabilizing, and institutions believe that conditions for a rate cut are gradually maturing. These expectations are already reflected in the trends of US Treasuries, the US dollar, and major asset classes.