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Two weeks of ceasefire = two weeks of a bull market? I only believe half of this rally!
Donald Trump’s one sentence “Pause for two weeks first,” the market immediately switches BGM— from “Wolf Warrior” to “Springtime.”
Risk sentiment warms up, Bitcoin surges to 71k, gold and silver soar together, but WTI crude oil experiences a free fall.
But here’s the question: Is this really a trend reversal?
First, look at the essence:
👉 This is “expectation easing,” not “conflict resolution”
👉 It’s a shift in sentiment, not a change in fundamentals
So I categorize this rally as:
👉 A trading window, not a long-term turning point
What’s next?
1️⃣ Crypto: Follow the trend but don’t get attached to the fight
After BTC breaks through a key level, it’s prone to a “short squeeze,” but note— this kind of rise is usually “fast + short-lived.”
Strategy:
👉 Use low leverage and follow the trend
👉 Take profits in stages
2️⃣ Gold: Keep holding, but don’t add positions
The safe haven hasn’t disappeared, just temporarily offline.
👉 A pullback that doesn’t break the trend can still be held
3️⃣ Oil: Don’t rush to bottom fish
A sharp drop is essentially “risk premium evaporation,”
But the conflict isn’t over, and a rebound can happen at any time.
👉 Wait for confirmation before acting
In summary:
👉 This is not the start of a bull market, it’s a “breathing rally” @E8#