Participate in event prediction with one click. What does Gate integration with Polymarket mean for 51 million users?

As Gate officially integrates with Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market, in March 2026, a revolution about “information trading” is quietly taking shape. As the world’s first centralized exchange (CEX) integrated with Polymarket, Gate allows more than 51 million users to participate in prediction trading of global hot events with a single click. For this huge user base, what does it really mean?

The Rise of Prediction Markets: From the Fringe to a Mainstream, Billion-Dollar-Scale Track

Before diving into Gate’s user value, we must first understand the scale and momentum of prediction markets. According to data from TRM Labs, a blockchain intelligence company, global monthly trading volume for prediction markets has surpassed $200 billion, jumping from roughly $12 billion at the start of 2025 to over $200 billion in January 2026. In March 2026, the year-over-year growth in the number of monthly users for prediction markets rose 118% to 865,411; nominal trading volume was close to $23.89 billion, up about 1,107% year over year.

The reason prediction markets have grown from “geek toys” into a billion-dollar-scale track lies in their unique value proposition—they are probabilities that are contested with real money, not analysts’ subjective opinions. A Federal Reserve research report has confirmed that prediction markets perform “significantly better than Bloomberg consensus expectations.”

Meanwhile, traditional financial giants are also accelerating their entry. On March 27, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, completed a $1.6 billion investment in Polymarket to obtain exclusive rights to distribute event-driven data. Polymarket and the two major platforms, Kalshi, have also been reported to be in talks for a new round of financing at a valuation of around $20 billion. These signals clearly show that prediction markets are being recognized by mainstream financial systems and are becoming an “instant macroeconomic radar.”

A Transformation with One Click: How Gate Breaks Down Prediction Markets’ “High Walls”

Although Polymarket is growing rapidly, its native onboarding barriers have long constrained ordinary users from participating. Users typically need to register separately, set up a Web3 wallet, transfer USDC across chains (Polygon network), pay Gas fees, and complete a series of other complex operations. For users accustomed to trading on centralized exchanges, each step can mean losing users.

Gate’s integration precisely addresses this pain point, bringing three core changes to 51 million users:

A seamless straight-through for funds. Users no longer need to manage complex seed phrases or perform cross-chain bridging; they can directly use the USDT in Gate’s spot account to participate in prediction trading, without additional Gas fees. This means the participation threshold for prediction markets is lowered to the same level as spot trading.

Fusion of dual trading modes. Gate innovatively introduces a dual-architecture of “Prediction Mode + Trading Mode.” Prediction Mode is user-friendly: it clearly and intuitively displays “Yes/No” probabilities and odds, helping beginners get started quickly. Trading Mode provides an order book, candlestick charts, market depth, and limit/market orders to meet professional traders’ strategy needs.

Simplified settlement mechanism. After an event is settled, the winning proceeds will be automatically exchanged 1:1 into stablecoins and transferred to the spot account—eliminating the on-chain settlement waiting period and slippage risk, delivering a “what you see is what you get” experience.

Three Core Values for 51 Million Users

From “Trading Assets” to “Trading Information” — A New Category of Assets

A Gate spokesperson said the goal of this integration is “to achieve the popularization of prediction markets; we see it as an entirely new category of baseline assets.” For 51 million Gate users, this means a new door is opening.

In traditional exchanges, users can only trade crypto price movements. But with Polymarket integrated through Gate, users can now use their existing spot account balances to participate in prediction markets across multiple categories, including crypto trend predictions, major sports events like the 2026 World Cup, macroeconomic indicators, and political outcomes. Users are no longer just passively consuming news; they can trade the outcomes of global events the same way they trade other assets.

For example, the cumulative trading volume of the contract on Polymarket “U.S. military will enter Iran by April 30” has reached $193 million. As of March 31, Polymarket already had 246 active markets related to Iran, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $1 billion. These figures show that global capital is treating prediction markets as an important tool for information pricing—and now, Gate’s 51 million users can participate seamlessly.

From “Information Consumers” to “Information Participants” — A New Paradigm for Event Arbitrage

For ordinary users, what makes prediction markets most appealing is that it lets everyone profit from their own “judgment.” Do you have a unique take on an event? Can your information advantage be converted into returns? Prediction markets provide a quantified answer to this question.

Taking the Iran-conflict-related contract for February 2026 as an example, “Will the U.S. attack Iran before February 28, 2026?” attracted $73 million in funding, and became the largest geopolitical contract in Polymarket history. During a period of rapidly changing circumstances, trading volume surged 1,275 times within a single day.

For Gate’s 51 million users, this opens up a new trading dimension. Users can buy Yes or No shares based on their own judgments about global hot events. Market price reflects the probability of an event occurring in real time—for example, when the Yes price for an event is 0.65, it means the market broadly believes that the event has about a 65% chance of happening. Users can either hold through event settlement to realize returns, or trade as market prices fluctuate, enabling event-driven strategy deployment.

From “Trading in Isolation” to “Ecosystem Synergy” — Gate’s Strategic Upgrade

The significance of Gate’s integration with Polymarket goes far beyond a simple function-layer add-on. This move marks Gate’s strategic leap from an “asset trading platform” to an “information trading platform.”

For users, this means Gate’s ecosystem boundaries are being redefined. Users can view their USDT balance and prediction market positions on a unified assets page, and manage orders, positions, and trading history in one place. The platform is also equipped with AI-driven automatic translation, making it easy for non-English users to participate in trading global events.

From a broader perspective, Gate’s integration with Polymarket demonstrates its unwavering commitment to “CeDeFi” (centralized-decentralized finance)—enabling centralized users to seamlessly leverage decentralized utility. In the crypto industry’s current shift from “zero-sum competition in existing supply” to “incremental expansion,” prediction markets are expected to become a new engine for attracting traffic and capital. For Gate’s 51 million users, they will be among the earliest beneficiaries of this trend.

How Prediction Markets Will Reshape Users’ Trading Habits

After Polymarket ended its zero-fee model on March 30, 2026, and began charging taker fees on core categories, two days later the platform’s daily revenue exceeded $1 million. This means prediction markets have completed the business closed loop—from “burning money for expansion” to “self-sustaining cash generation”—validating long-term sustainability.

For Gate’s 51 million users, the popularization of prediction markets will bring three changes:

Diversification of trading strategies. Users can combine prediction markets with spot and derivatives trading to build multi-dimensional investment portfolios based on global macro events. For example, when prediction markets indicate an increasing probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes, users can adjust their positions simultaneously in the spot market to form hedging or enhancement strategies.

Proactive information gathering. In the past, users could only passively receive news; now they can actively verify their judgments by participating in prediction markets—“betting” with real money on the future they believe in. This identity shift from “information consumers” to “information participants” will reshape users’ decision-making habits.

New tools for risk management. A prediction market is essentially an event-driven probability pricing tool. Users can hedge real-world uncertainty by buying opposite outcomes. For investors who are concerned about a specific geopolitical event, for example, they can build a corresponding hedging position on Polymarket.

How to Start Your First Prediction Trade?

For Gate users who want to experience prediction markets, the participation process is extremely simple:

1. Preparation: Make sure your Gate App is updated to v8.12.5 or above.
2. Entry point: Open the Gate App and find the “Prediction Markets” entry on the homepage or in the trading section.
3. Choose an event: Browse popular events across multiple areas, such as sports, cryptocurrencies, macroeconomics, and political elections.
4. Participate in the prediction: Select the event you’re interested in, and based on your judgment, buy Yes or No shares. Use the USDT in your spot account to trade directly—no wallet connection and no Gas fees.

It’s worth mentioning that Gate also provides a “First Prediction Protection” benefit for prediction-market beginners, helping reduce the risk of exploring new features.

Conclusion

Gate’s integration with Polymarket is not just a functional update—it’s a cognitive revolution. It turns “trading information” into an ability as important as “trading assets,” enabling every user to participate in pricing global events.

For Gate’s 51 million users, this means a brand-new door is opening. In an era where information equals value, every judgment you make could become an investment. Prediction markets make “monetizing your knowledge” no longer an empty slogan, but a tangible reality within reach.

In the crypto industry’s new phase of moving from “price-based battles” to “information-based battles,” whoever can understand and participate in prediction markets first will seize the advantage in this transformation. And for Gate users, all of this only requires a single App update.