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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 Shocking turnaround, a two-week ceasefire! Big rebound, what’s the next move?
The president is once again drawing all the candlestick charts of the global capital markets.
Officially announcing a two-week ceasefire.
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council confirms acceptance of the ceasefire and says they will start negotiations with the U.S. in Islamabad. Reports say talks begin on Friday. Israel has no choice but to agree.
Brent crude oil prices have fallen below $100, currently around $95 (morning of April 8).
Affected by the ceasefire news, the long-suppressed global capital markets are surging upward. You should understand now—where are truly independent markets in the world? Currently, major global capital markets are deeply tied to Middle East conflicts. But a two-week ceasefire is just a temporary breather.
The war premium in oil prices might drop a bit first, but shipping costs, insurance fees, and other charges may not immediately return to pre-war levels.
Moreover, a two-week pause doesn’t mean the war is over. These two weeks are a critical test of Trump’s team’s political skills—how to bravely retreat, how to loudly celebrate compromises?
Or perhaps, two weeks is just a delaying tactic, secretly mobilizing troops and continuing to face difficulties head-on behind the scenes?
Enjoy the rebound, but the future direction remains uncertain. It still depends on how Trump draws the candlestick charts!