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[Red Envelope] is here, continuing the rally!
See a leaf fall, and you know the year is already drawing to a close; see a jug of ice, and you know the whole world is cold.——《Huainanzi · Shuoshan Xun》[Taoguba]
As for today’s market, that line above summarizes it all
As long as over today and tomorrow, Chuan Chuan doesn’t blow up the infrastructure base, then tomorrow’s market can continue the repair!
On top of that, I’m going to talk about two clear points where the market is turning better!
First point: although today’s market is still only a rotational, choppy market with trading volume of 1.6w亿
Even though the money-making effect is still in quant’s Jinling Sports and Zhuang stocks like Fal Sheng
But it’s already clear that some individual stocks are starting to rally with volume!
Second point: it’s Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical’s comeback on the close-back (reversal to close at the limit)
We discussed this in the pre-market as well
Why did Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical drop today and still manage a close-back?
Because today the micro-cap stocks have already reached a point where they need to bottom and rebound
We discussed this in the pre-market already
Micro-cap stocks themselves have a demand to rebound ahead of the index; this W-bottom chart also looks very good
So, a lot of things are actually decided by the pre-market!
Of course, if you hadn’t entered in the past few days and hadn’t built up a profit cushion, then you definitely can’t get in nicely today
If you want arbitrage, you need to look for the Meinuo bond (Meinuo Convertible Bond)
With a走势 of charging up every day then closing back down, it’s hard to hold a “big-picture” mindset; arbitrage is still simpler
But convertible bonds are too flexible—you can only rely on your own research and pre-market plan to trade
Including the Xingan Port convertible bond before—that was the same situation too: the market is tough, but some 20cm opportunities are still eatable
The logic is something I talked about before as well
It seems to be from that live stream that day
Not because of a particular stock, not because of a theme
It’s because Meinuo Hua and Meinuo Convertible Bond had previously driven a wave of profit-making effect, and to a certain extent it can be viewed as a revival of the 20cm profit-making effect.
At this point, either look at the new 20cm convertible bonds, or look at the new 20cm opportunities that have a chance to break out and run
Xinghui Huancai is an example
Of course, we won’t go into these things here anymore
We mainly still want to talk about Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical
What can it bring to our market?
Let me be direct: Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical and Huadian Liaoneng are actually the same kind of “main controller” setup, and their maneuvering method is also the same—these two positions are identical
Maybe, even the way the board finally breaks is going to be the same
As for this point, those who can understand will understand
Those who can’t, there’s nothing to do
The market still needs to leave some “grass that I speak and show my chart” behind, otherwise the market’s consensus would be too high
Of course, Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical actually has a bit of “human-made” (engineered) meaning
Its own daily trading volume isn’t that high either; it’s more like the main controller entertaining itself, with a bit of the feel of a Zhuang stock
Based on that, Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical also has to go up to eight boards
As long as tomorrow it can lock the eight-board limit-up solidly, and with the drive from two consecutive eight-board small cycles, then you can start looking forward to a consecutive-limit-up (连扳) cycle行情!
So, Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical’s limit-up over the past two days isn’t itself that important; what matters is whether it can truly break through eight boards
Next is Fal Sheng
This Zhuang stock—before the first day it hit limit-up, I already talked about it in the pre-market
I didn’t act partly because Fal Sheng itself is a Zhuang stock
Everyone must understand one thing clearly:
If you can make money on a Zhuang stock at this time, it doesn’t mean you can make money on Zhuang stocks at other times!
So which one is most likely to be the majority?
Just like before, when the prop firms did securities trading—after the money they made in one wave from Everbright Securities, was it enough to cover the losses from the subsequent few times?
But even so, Fal Sheng does indeed have some guiding significance for the tape
For example: is there talk that Fal Sheng will end together with Tiaoyao Pharmaceutical tomorrow or the day after?
If they end together, you can treat this as a kind of alternative resonance—then directly trade into the new cycle on Thursday and Friday
Including at the trend side or index side, it’s the same; overall, opportunities are in the second half of the week!