#川普再下最後通牒

On April 6, 2026, Donald Trump issued a 48-hour "final ultimatum" to Iran, warning that if negotiations are not held or the Strait of Hormuz is not opened, "hell will descend." This move triggered intense volatility in global markets. Below is an analysis of asset trends:

1. Crude Oil: Strong bullish outlook, prices hit recent highs
Current trend: After the ultimatum was issued, U.S. crude oil briefly surged to $115.48 per barrel.
Key impact: If Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or the U.S. military strikes its energy facilities, global oil supply will be severely disrupted.
Market forecast:
In the short term, geopolitical premium supports high oil prices, likely maintaining above $110 with oscillations.
Analysts note that the market is still betting on the possibility of a "last-minute ceasefire." Without concrete military action, gains may narrow.

2. Cryptocurrency Market: Volatile swings, Bitcoin faces bulls vs. bears showdown
Current trend: Bitcoin, after breaking above $70k, has seen a significant pullback, currently oscillating between $67k and $69k.
Market sentiment: Fear and Greed Index drops to 13, indicating extreme market anxiety.

Trend forecast:
If war breaks out, causing the dollar to strengthen or safe-haven funds flow into gold, cryptocurrencies may experience risk-off selling.
Within 24 hours, liquidation numbers surged, leverage trading risks are extremely high, and short-term trends are highly unstable.

3. Minerals and Precious Metals: Safe-haven sentiment dominates
Gold trend: Gold declined as the ultimatum approached, reflecting some funds shifting into oil or cash for safety.

Industrial minerals: Turmoil in the Middle East could impact supply of metals like aluminum. Morgan Stanley warns that supply chain recovery may take up to a year. $DOGE $BTC $GT

The final ultimatum is expected to expire on the evening of April 7 (Eastern Time). Investors should closely monitor real-time Middle East war news.