#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 The Persian Gulf conflict continues, and a global financial storm is imminent—keep enough cash on hand and wait for the bottoming opportunity.

【Market Overview】
The Israel-Iran conflict remains tense, with Brent crude oil rising above $111. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has broken through 100 points, and various financial assets are experiencing increased volatility. Rumors suggest that former President Trump has been hospitalized or even "gone," and the international financial markets are anxious as they wait.
【Gold and Silver Performance Remains Stable】 Currently, gold and silver still stay above key support levels, with no major issues. From the monthly chart, gold and silver have experienced a significant correction after several months of sharp gains. Although this is driven by the US Treasury Department and the aggressive suppression by the five major Jewish Wall Street firms, the technical patterns have not deteriorated. If there is another sharp decline, it could be a good opportunity to buy the dip.
【The Biggest Risk Point: Yen Collapse】 It must be emphasized again: Will the Persian Gulf war trigger a yen and Japanese bond market collapse, leading to a domino effect on the dollar, US bonds, and US stocks, and potentially ignite a century-long global financial storm that has been brewing for over a decade or two? This is a black swan event we must guard against.
【Main Trading Strategy: Keep Enough Cash】 Therefore, the current main strategy is very clear: reduce positions on rallies, keep 30%–50% cash, and wait for the bottoming opportunity brought by this century-long financial storm. Don’t focus too much on short-term gains or losses; risk prevention is the top priority.
【Gold and Silver Rhythm】 Gold and silver are attractive, but the capital invested in them has been highly profitable over the past two years, and liquidity is the best. During the initial phase of a financial crisis, they will face a fierce sell-off (capital cash-out for survival), potentially dropping 30%–40%, followed by a V-shaped reversal, and then reaching new highs amid global chaos.
Conclusion: Be cautious in the short term, keep enough cash; be optimistic in the long term, with no upper limit.
【Other Assets】 International crude oil is likely to continue rising and can be accumulated on dips. The RMB remains steadily appreciating, and the yen collapse is only a matter of time. Bitcoin is also unlikely to escape this impact. The US Coffee Index is currently at 295, rebounding after four consecutive months of decline, but the medium- to long-term trend remains unclear.
【Ultimate Risk: Global Hyperinflation】 Some financial bigwigs warn that after the Persian Gulf war causes oil prices to surge, global inflation will spiral out of control. From the second half of this year to the end of the year, food prices may skyrocket, and next year the world could face hyperinflation. If it comes to this, physical gold and silver will be the best investments.
These views are personal analyses and do not constitute any investment advice.