4.7 Midday Big Cookie and Small Cookie

Big Cookie: After two attempts to push through 70k, it backed off both times,

Friends — Big Cookie yesterday pushed twice at 70,292, and every time it was knocked back. On the final attempt, it even threw in a double-top pin test. One look at this pattern and you can tell the bulls are out of strength—don’t lie to yourself.

The key is the neckline at 68,811; it’s broken.

After the drop, there was a rebound, but it just stalled right at 69,129, turning into an isolated high. Now, 69,129 is the bulls’ lifeline—if it can’t get up and hold, don’t bring 70k to me.

Next, the script is simple:

If it can rebound again and get back above 69,129, the bulls can still be salvaged a bit, and then we’ll look at 70,292.

If it can’t bounce above 69,129, and then breaks below 68,265—the low of the newly inserted needle today—and on the way down it doesn’t turn back, then first look at 67,861.

If 67,861 holds, expect choppy consolidation from 67,861 to 69,129, grinding and annoying.

If 67,861 breaks again, then look at 66,469. Does 66,469 break too? Then it’s a high-platform jump—how it climbs up is how it falls back. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

On the right side, do it without feelings:

A volume breakout above 69,129—chase long, keep your stop-loss tight, and don’t hold stubbornly.

If it breaks below 68,313 and cannot rebound back—chase short.

If the hourly closes/holds above 69,129, target 69,980 to 70,555; if it can’t hold, go back to sleep.

On the 4-hour chart, if it breaks below 68,223, look down at 67,307 to 66,563.

Resistance: 69,129, 69,980, 68,223
Support: 68,224, 67,331, 66,528

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Small Cookie: Even weaker—don’t be stubborn

The altcoin acceleration line has already broken. If the rebound can’t reclaim 2,119, then continue sliding down.

Bull-bear line: if it can’t reclaim 2,119, watch the support range from 2,086 to 2,073. If this range breaks again, the decline of the Small Cookie is just starting—don’t catch a falling knife. If it can reclaim above 2,119, there’s still a chance to struggle and test 2,151. If it breaks below the bullish trend line at 2,020, mission accomplished—meaning it’s going down.

No-feeling right-side actions:

A volume breakout above 2,121—go long, reclaim the stop-loss.

A volume breakdown below 2,085—go short.

On the left side, take a gamble with a small position—don’t get carried away:

Pullback and hold at 2,043—add one more, and if it breaks 2,015, get out.

Place a buy at 1,976, stop-loss at 1,936.

For the upside, 2,198 is given as a level where you can short once; break above 2,233, stop-loss.

If the hourly holds above 2,121, target 2,155 to 2,198.

On the 4-hour chart, if it breaks below 2,085, look down at 2,040 to 2,010.

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Last sentence: Big Cookie looks at 69,229, Small Cookie looks at 2,129. Whoever gets on top can breathe a little; if you can’t get up, be honest and just short. Don’t FOMO when it rises, and don’t panic when it drops. Set your stop-loss properly—before the US market session opens tonight, there’ll be one more wave to choose the direction.
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