This analytical article is quite insightful. Sharing it here for everyone's reference:

On April 3rd, today is Friday. Next Friday, the US CPI will be announced. In theory, there should be some action today. If nothing happens today, the US stock market won't be able to handle it next week!

🟢 Bitcoin broke below the trend line and formed a daily top pattern again. If it can't hold above 68,500, there’s a chance it will go down. From the current situation, since the US is acting like this, they definitely won't let other countries have an easy time.

🟢 The Strait of Hormuz—yesterday Trump said they don't need it. That’s a typical case of saying whatever is lacking. From Iran’s perspective, they might be aiming for the toll passage fee after the Suez Canal, which they desire most. If they want to charge fees, isn’t it like hospitals never bargaining? They’re almost at the limit, so is there really room to negotiate? Would they let go so easily?

🟢 Earlier, we let Trump’s constant babbling make us a bit dizzy. The director has summarized with a results-oriented approach. My personal bias is that the US can bomb Iran, then withdraw, shifting the pressure to other countries. Since they can be self-sufficient, the market will fall. Iran is unlikely to voluntarily open the Strait of Hormuz, and they will continue to retaliate against US sanctions. This is like the world bleeding, and liquidity will definitely be affected. When reserves are exhausted, it’s like a sudden death, and the market will probably drop significantly.

🟢 There is only one possibility: two sides shake hands and resolve this issue by mid-April. Mullah Muqtada, who bears the grudge of killing his father and also shoulders the fate of the country—if it were you, would you agree? Does Trump have a strategy of killing the pig to buy the chicken?

🟢 If this outcome-oriented logic aligns with the current situation, then the trend is likely long-term bearish with short-term bullish opportunities. Less chasing rebounds, more trying short positions.

✍ Personal purely manual analysis, for reference only. If you find it somewhat logical, give a like to show you’ve read carefully.