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WTI crude oil prices surpassing $112 per barrel are sending a clear signal: inflationary pressures in the U.S. could return to above 3.5% if this price level persists through April. History shows that oil prices and CPI are closely correlated. When energy costs rise, prices
WTI crude oil prices above 112 USD per barrel are sending a clear signal: inflation pressure in the U.S. could return to levels above 3.5% if this price level holds throughout April. History shows that oil prices and CPI have a very close correlation. When energy costs rise, transportation, production, and consumer goods prices also increase, pushing inflation higher. If this scenario plays out, the Fed will find it difficult to ease monetary policy early. In the long run, asset holders will benefit, while cash holders will be at a disadvantage as purchasing power is eroded by inflation.