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Telegram Wallet launches perpetual contracts, retail investors flock to LIT
Why Telegram’s perpetual feature made LIT blow up
Traders like to “distribute stories.” This LIT breakout lines up directly with Telegram Wallet’s integration into perpetual trading. It also hit right as Iran-related geopolitical risks triggered a crypto pullback, and retail buy pressure formed a self-reinforcing cycle. A relatively low-profile perp DEX suddenly reached 150 million people through a super app that users check every day. This isn’t a typical “partnership announcement”—it puts high-leverage trading directly in front of people who don’t feel like messing around with standalone DEXs. Why now? BTC is down 1.7%, SOL has retraced 6%. When overall risk appetite weakens, any positive news stands out even more, and over-the-counter capital starts looking for upside opportunities.
Remove macro panic from the causal chain. Trump’s Iran-related remarks did hurt market sentiment, but that’s not the reason LIT’s discussion volume surged by 3.67x. Geopolitics is just an excuse, not the driving force. What truly spread the topic is the potential size of on-chain perps—not global developments themselves. People buying LIT aren’t betting on Middle East price action; they’re betting that when everywhere else is quiet, new retail users will flow here.
Distribution path: from announcements to a momentum flywheel
Multiple triggers stacked together create a classic feedback loop. The novelty of people going directly into perps inside a chat app drove the initial spread, but whether it can retain users depends on real user conversion—not a momentary burst of emotion.
This breakdown is meant to distinguish signal from noise. The official integration announcement is the anchor point; afterward, it mainly relies on momentum trading diffusion. The column on “short-term hype” reminds you: without hard data to back it up, confidence will evaporate quickly.
I’m usually pretty cautious about perp DEX tokens after the first round of the initial hype. But this time I think the valuation is too low. I lean long, betting that the Telegram mini-app ecosystem over the next few months can truly convert users. The market is underestimating the existing Telegram trading bot user base.
Key point: This momentum is worth tracking. It looks like an early signal that retail interest is migrating from spot/memecoins to perps. If later trading volume validates Telegram’s distribution chain, LIT will benefit. If active traders within 30 days stay below 1 million, that’s when I would switch to cautious.
Conclusion: This is a position that’s a bit early but not too early—suited for proactive traders and crypto funds that can withstand volatility and will track on-chain data. Long-term holders need to treat user conversion as the hard metric (30 days, 1 million MAU) before making decisions. Pure builders benefit relatively less.