- XRP price struggles to establish direction amid declining retail and institutional demand:

Interest in XRP derivatives has declined, with futures contract open interest around $2.39 billion on Tuesday and Monday. Historically, open interest reached $2.87 billion on March 17, but has declined amid persistent risk-aversion sentiment.

CoinGlass data also shows that retail investor interest remains well below the historical high of $10.94 billion, a level that corresponded to XRP price reaching $3.66, its current all-time high in July. If derivatives demand fails to stabilize and recover, XRP's rally will be extremely difficult.

XRP futures contracts daily trading information | Source: CoinGlass

Similarly, demand for XRP spot index funds has declined, with weaker activity on Monday. Despite XRP recording $1.98 million in inflows on Friday, overall sentiment remains weak. SoSoValue data shows that since March 6, there have been only two days of inflows to US-listed spot index funds. Total inflows reached $1.21 billion, with net assets under management at $1.01 billion.

XRP exchange-traded fund inflows | Source: CoinGlass

A report on crypto-related capital flows released by CoinShares on Monday notes that the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts in 2026 continues to impact markets, coupled with uncertainty caused by the Middle East conflict.

The CoinShares report states, "Digital asset investment products recorded inflows of $230 million last week, representing a significant slowdown compared to previous weeks. While conventional wisdom attributes this slowdown to escalating Iran conflict and its negative impact on sentiment, we believe the most likely reason is market interpretation of Wednesday's Federal Reserve Board meeting as 'hawkishly cautious'."
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