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Not pessimistic
Message: [Taogu Ba]
It is time-sensitive; ask Doubao every day.
Sort from top to bottom based on domestic and international perspectives.
Da Zi Conference
Wind power, nuclear power
10 million tokens, Six Musts and Six Nots, Little Art Lobster
6G is coming, Lobster cybersecurity, SPACEX going public, robots,
Calculative power collaboration
Index cycle (830,000): (Bottoming cross star)
Volume remains flat; the volume at the close was driven by selling. The morning gap-down and intra-day rebound without breaking through resistance levels indicate weakness. The 30-minute chart continues downward, with only a 5-minute upward move. This is a relatively weak trend, showing a low-probability pattern. Existing trend positions should hold off on action and wait for recovery.
This was written yesterday. On Monday, the opening generally reflects weekend fermentation and realization. The index pulled back at open but did not surpass the high point, indicating pressure on the index. The five-minute decline from last week continued. The index hit three ice points during the day. Many sectors have been diverging for four or five days. Before the lunch break, there was a clear 1-minute buy-the-dip signal. The three-ice on the left side of the index remains worth betting on (for the index itself, since sector divergence was visible before 10:30).
Since the dip was stopped today, look for recovery in the next one or two days, mainly assessing tomorrow’s recovery strength. Coupled with various meetings this week, expectations are built in. After all, technology performed strongly today. No need to be pessimistic, but stock selection is crucial—pay attention to fundamentals and logic.
Sentiment cycle: (Ice point, anchored to calculative power)
Today’s bullish rate: 54%, limit-up 44, limit-down 5. Limit-up decreased, limit-down decreased. The old cycle has reached the ice point, with high pressure at 3B, and short-term sentiment is subdued. The short-term ecosystem is very poor, anchored to Yunnan Energy and Nengke; other positions need confirmation. Shun Na (Sino-Na) caught up with Marine today. It’s not recommended to look for consecutive limit-ups. Today’s index recovery was driven by technology and trend-following, so there weren’t many limit-ups.
Electric power:
Sentiment: Central South, Yunnan Energy, Huadian, Goldwind, Coal Power, Green Development, Shao Energy, Silver Star, Gannan Energy, Huayin, Fuling, Guangui
Recognition: Min Dong, Guang’an, Leshan
Mid-term trend: Dongfang, Electric Power Investment
Today, the front-runners—Central South, Yunnan Energy, and Huadian—did not meet expectations at the open, and sector feedback was negative, with high-level stocks correcting. Need to wait for buy-the-dip signals before observing further; short-term pressure remains.
Computing power:
Sentiment: Ningbo, Meili, Qunxing, Kehua, Litong, Yunsai, Zhongbei, Taijia, China Electric, Hangjin, Hanggang
Mid-term trend: Nengjian, Tuowei, Peanut
300 Index: Runze, Wangsu
300 Recognition: Youke, Qingyun, Shunwang
Still looking for recovery. Buy-the-dip signals have appeared.
Ultra-high voltage:
Sentiment: Shun Na, Jinkai, Jicheng, Hangdian, Huadong, Senyuan, Shenyang, Sanbian, Baobian, Huaming
Mid-term: Xidian, Tebian
Recognition: Pinggao, Xujiji, Sifang
300 Index: Tongguang, Ankao, Jianan
Beijing-Harbin; Yeneng, Caneng
At this level, risk is limited. However, since the sector has risen several waves previously, space for pure electric is limited; choose low-position stocks with good fundamentals.
Trend cycle (select stocks with good earnings expectations):
Chemical industry:
Mid-term: Luxi, Wanhua, Yuntian
Sentiment: Jinniu, Baichuan, Jinzhen, Chitian, Lutián, Xinghua
Recognition: Six Nations, Chuanjin, Bohai, Hongbao, Chengxing, Cangzhou, Hongqiang, Yida
Trend is upward. Noted in early trading to take profits, as high sector sentiment pulled down the sector due to early bidding. Short-term pressure is expected. For stocks with no trend movement, reduce actions; profit margins are thick.
PCB:
Mid-term: Shenghong, Shengyi, Shennan, Jingwang
Recognition: Jinan, Guanghe, Dongcai, Xingsen, Fangzheng, Shiyun
Trend is upward, aligned with index expectations.
CPO, Storage, Optical Fiber, Liquid Cooling:
Mid-term: Tianyi Zhong
Storage recognition: Baiwei, Jiangbo, Deming, Zhaoyi, Shannon, Shanke
Optical fiber recognition: FiberHome, Tefang, Tongding, Longfei, Hengtong, Zhongtian, Hangdian
Liquid cooling: Yingwei, Shenling, Gaolan, Feilong, Dongyang, Oulu, Chuanyun, Dayuan
CPO moves independently (second-tier rotation). Storage remains a fundamental stock, strongly aligned with the index. Today’s performance was synchronized, driven by storage explosion and upcoming conference expectations. Watch how news and messages overlay.
This covers the index recovery outlook.
Robotics:
Mid-term: Sanhua, Tuopu
Recognition: Zhaowei, Shoukai, Wanxiang, Wuzhou, Mingzhi, Fangzheng, Zhongda, Kesen
Motherboard stocks: Yuhuan, Huadong, Qinchuan, Rifa, Huazhong
Sector resonance is present but not strong; low advantage positions. Focus on stocks with high recognition (Yushu and Tielian).
Military:
Sentiment: Caihong, Leike, Fenghuo, Hangfa, Yaxing, Zhongtian
Sentiment 300: Huaru, Guanshang, Zhongwu, Zhongke
Mid-term: Satellite, Weitong, Shenfei, Zhongbing
More defensive and strategic positioning.
Execution and mindset:
It’s still a seesaw. Energy, power, and chemical sectors are diverging; expectations for tech recovery are strengthening. Tomorrow, it will be more about competition—whether funds will favor a strong rebound in energy or continue to strengthen tech. Favor the index, focusing on recovery around computing power and hard tech. In the short term, power sectors may see localized inflows; low-position wind, calculative power, and nuclear power stocks are expected to perform better.
After Friday’s big rise, today’s opening in chemical stocks likely won’t see new entries. Power sector underperformed expectations, making short-term entries difficult. Shift focus to storage, CPO, and PCB. Storage is driven by news and earnings; other hard tech stocks previously benefited from domestic strength, and this wave is driven by conference expectations—look for whether news exceeds expectations and whether the trend sustains tomorrow. If tomorrow’s momentum resonates with the index, it could last several days. Stocks with good fundamentals and positive trend outlooks should be held patiently. Focus on fundamentals and industry chains when selecting stocks; avoid small caps due to high randomness. Today’s sentiment was poor, and the main focus remains on trend development.