"America and Israel can no longer end the war at will," Iran proposes ceasefire conditions

Iran Signals Ceasefire as Diplomatic Mediation Heats Up, Warns of Strait Traffic Controls, Adding New Uncertainty to Energy Markets

According to Global Times, Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi stated that Tehran’s primary condition for a ceasefire is “no further acts of aggression,” and revealed that several countries, including Russia, have engaged with Iran to promote a ceasefire. Meanwhile, the head of Iran’s top military command issued a tough statement, saying the US and Israel “can no longer freely initiate or end wars,” indicating that Tehran remains firm in its stance amid uncertain prospects for negotiations.

Iran’s ambassador to China further stated that passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be subject to “controls”—though he emphasized this does not mean closing the strait. This stance poses a potential threat to the global energy supply chain and may heighten expectations of oil price volatility.

Primary Condition for Ceasefire: No Further Aggression

According to reports, Gharibabadi said that amid intensive diplomatic efforts by global leaders, Iran explicitly states that “stopping further aggression” is a prerequisite for initiating a ceasefire. He added that several countries, including Russia, have proactively contacted Iran to help de-escalate the situation.

On bilateral levels, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi told Turkish President Erdogan during a phone call that Iran is ready to reduce regional tensions, provided that neighboring countries’ airspace, territory, and waters are not used to attack Iran.

The Kremlin also announced on the 9th that Russian President Vladimir Putin had a phone call with US President Donald Trump to discuss the Iran situation, with Putin suggesting measures to end the conflict around Iran as soon as possible.

Abdollahian, commander of Iran’s “Hatham Anbia Central Command,” issued a strong statement on March 10. He said, “Now, the US and Israel can no longer freely initiate or end wars.”

Abdollahian also warned that Iran will not be swayed by “psychological warfare and lies,” and stated, “The war will not stop; our leaders, people, and military are more determined than ever to avenge our enemies.”

“Three-Step” Roadmap and Strait Control Risks

According to Xinhua News Agency, on March 9 local time, US President Donald Trump said that the US conflict with Iran “will end soon,” but “not” within this week.

During a press conference at a golf club in Miami, Florida, Trump stated that oil prices “haven’t risen sharply as he feared,” but the US is temporarily waiving some oil-related sanctions to ensure sufficient oil supply and lower prices.

Global Times reports that Iran’s ambassador to China proposed a “three-step” framework to ease tensions:

First step: end the war and achieve a ceasefire. The initiating side should take the lead in stopping hostilities, requiring actions to force the US and Israel to immediately cease all military attacks.

Second step: return to negotiations. However, since trust in the US has eroded, this step is difficult and nearly impossible unless major world powers and the UN Security Council intervene actively, providing binding and inviolable guarantees to prevent further aggression during talks, and establishing a durable, reliable mechanism to uphold the negotiations’ outcomes.

Third step: all countries should unite and cooperate to resist unilateralism and promote multilateralism.

“Based on the full respect and implementation of these principles, we are willing to resume relevant dialogues,” said Ambassador Faziri.

Notably, the ambassador explicitly stated that passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be “controlled.” The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global oil transit chokepoint, with a significant proportion of daily crude oil transit passing through. While the ambassador emphasized this does not mean closing the strait, the term “control” alone is enough to trigger re-pricing risks in energy markets regarding supply disruptions.

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