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Why Is SPY ETF Down Today, 3/5/2026?
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) declined 0.56% today, March 5, as rising oil prices, escalating geopolitical tensions, and renewed inflation worries weighed on investor sentiment.
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Importantly, SPY closely tracks the S&P 500 Index (SPX), which was down 0.56% in the regular trading session, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 (NDX) fell 0.29%.
Key Catalysts That Can Move the SPY ETF
On Friday, the main drivers for the SPY ETF are a key labor market report and rising geopolitical tensions, which are pushing up energy prices and fueling fresh inflation worries.
The February Jobs, or Nonfarm Payrolls report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. EST. The market consensus expects a sharp deceleration to about 58,000 to 65,000 new jobs, down from 130,000 in the previous month.
Fund Flows and Sentiment
SPY’s five-day net outflows totaled $7 billion, showing that investors pulled out capital from the ETF over the past five trading days. Meanwhile, its three-month average trading volume is 81.69 million shares.
It must be noted that the retail sentiment for the SPY ETF is positive, and hedge fund managers have also increased their holdings of the ETF in the last quarter.
SPY’s Price Forecast
According to TipRanks’ unique ETF analyst consensus, which is based on a weighted average of analyst ratings on its holdings, SPY has a Moderate Buy rating. The Street’s average price target of $820.55 for the SPY ETF implies an upside potential of 20.44%.
Currently, SPY’s five holdings with the highest upside potential are:
Oracle (ORCL)
ServiceNow (NOW)
Datadog (DDOG)
KKR (KKR)
Adobe (ADBE)
Meanwhile, its five holdings with the greatest downside potential are:
Moderna (MRNA)
Ciena (CIEN)
LyondellBasell (LYB)
APA Corp. (APA)
Comfort Systems (FIX)
Revealingly, SPY’s ETF Smart Score is seven, implying that this ETF is likely to perform in line with the broader market over the long term.
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