Bitcoin Volatility Hits Lowest Since New Year, Time to Throw the Bullet and Wait for a Breakout

Historical data shows that searches for “Bitcoin Zero” reached a peak in February 2026, reflecting a wave of panic sweeping the market. However, behind these concerns, there are some interesting signals: this Lunar New Year period recorded the lowest volatility in the past five years, indicating that the market is building a foundation for new momentum. Currently, a defensive strategy—saving capital wisely while waiting for golden opportunities—has become the key to long-term traders’ success.

Lunar New Year Consolidation Creates a Solid Foundation for New Momentum

During the Lunar New Year period, market liquidity drops significantly, while ETF funds continue to experience large-scale outflows. This is not a negative signal—in fact, quite the opposite. Every time the market consolidates with decreasing volume, it means institutions are rebalancing their positions. Since early February, support levels have held firm for three consecutive weeks, with gradually declining volume each week. This is a very positive sign confirming that a bottom pattern is forming perfectly.

The current consolidation characteristics are very healthy: no panic selling spike in volume, and every price pressure is immediately met with organized buyers. This is a classic scenario before a significant price expansion.

Bullish Technical Signals Are Present Across All Timeframes

Technical analysis indicates setups favorable for short-term traders. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $67,920, with a 24-hour change of -0.15%. On the 1-hour to 4-hour timeframes, the trend already shows a clear bullish bias.

Bitcoin technical levels:

• Major support: 57,850 - 60,000 - 63,750
• Resistance: 75,475 - 83,960
• Key pivot points: 70,900 and 65,300

The recommended strategy is to capitalize on the movements of the last 10 days by following bullish and bearish signals at the 1h/4h timeframe boundaries, while maintaining tight stop losses. Do not rush to enter—wait for confirmed breakouts at key levels for safer entries.

BTC and ETH: Layered Approach with Tight Risk Management

Ether (ETH) is currently correcting -1.12% in the last 24 hours, trading at $2,030. Despite short-term pressure, Ethereum’s price structure remains intact with clear support levels.

Ethereum technical levels:

• Support: 1,840 - 1,600 - 1,385
• Resistance: 2,225 - 2,749
• Key pivot points: 1,905 and 2,100

The same advice applies: enter spot positions for BTC and ETH gradually, especially for new traders. If you have already opened positions in the first 1-2 layers, ensure all support levels have buy limit orders. Futures trading should only be undertaken by experienced traders, with mandatory stop losses on every trade.

A rhetorical question worth asking: if not now, when the price action is healthy and support levels are clearly identified, when will this opportunity come again? Only through action—not speculation—will the answer be revealed.

Gold as Long-Term Diversification in Volatile Times

Gold (XAU) offers an interesting lesson over the past two weeks. Early February was predicted to be bearish, but on February 18, a reversal occurred. It has since rebounded well. This pattern—drop first, then rise—is the market’s “small red envelope” strategy to teach traders patience.

XAU is currently trading at $5,181.84. In the context of cryptocurrency market history, such periods are ideal times to incorporate gold and US equities into your trading portfolio for the year. Focus on stability of instruments, not maximum volatility.

Fund Management Strategy: Layered, Stable, Ready for the Lunar New Year Battle

This is a critical moment for defensive positioning—preparing capital with a well-structured layered strategy. The traders who win the market battles are those who:

1. Segmented Entry (Layered Entry): Don’t go all-in at one level; divide into 3-4 batches at different support levels.
2. Focus on Stability: Only trade instruments showing stable price action patterns; avoid erratic moves.
3. Discipline with Stop Losses: Every position, whether spot or futures, must have a pre-planned stop loss.
4. Asset Diversification: Balance between BTC/ETH spot with gold and equity diversification for hedging.

In recent days, the market has been giving traders time to prepare psychologically and financially. The upcoming Lunar New Year battle is approaching, and every trader must ask: are you ready with a solid defensive strategy? Or will you be forced to become a victim of impulsive moves when a breakout occurs?

Historical momentum begins with every decision made today.