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4/
• BTC price: ~$75,948–$76,081
• 24h change: -3.8% to -4.8%
• Recent low: ~$72,900
• Strategy holdings: 713,502 BTC
• Total acquisition cost: ~$54.26B
• Average cost: ~$76,052 per BTC
Unrealized Losses Explained
5/
When BTC slipped below $76,052, Strategy’s entire stack officially moved into the red.
At the deepest point ($73k), unrealized losses briefly reached **$900M to $1B**, roughly 1–2% of total position value.
6/
At current prices, the position remains only slightly underwater (~0.5–1%), turning the $76K area into a key psychological and technical battleground.
Price Percentage Breakdown
7/
• From recent highs ($85k–$90k): BTC is 15–20% lower
• Recent crash magnitude: ~10–12%
• Below Strategy’s cost basis at the lows: 3–5%
This highlights how normal—but aggressive—Bitcoin volatility still is.
Trading Volume and Liquidations
8/
The selloff triggered a major volume expansion, with $68B–$110B+ in 24h BTC trading volume, signaling panic selling and forced deleveraging.
9/
• Total liquidations: ~$660M+
• Long liquidations: ~$520M+
Leverage was flushed aggressively near the $73k–$76k range.
Liquidity Conditions
10/
Liquidity across major exchanges remained intact, but order books thinned sharply during the dip, increasing slippage and intraday volatility.
11/
With control of roughly 3.4% of total BTC supply, Strategy’s cost basis has effectively become a market-wide reference level for traders.
MSTR Stock Impact
12/
As BTC broke below $76k, MSTR shares dropped 5–7%, reflecting the stock’s leveraged exposure to Bitcoin.
13/
Trading volume in MSTR spiked during the drawdown, showing heightened institutional and retail activity driven by fear and long-term positioning.
Why Strategy Isn’t Panicking
14/
• No margin calls
• No forced liquidations
• Holdings largely unencumbered
• Funded via equity and convertibles
This structure allows Strategy to absorb volatility without distress.
15/
Even during weakness, Strategy added 855 BTC recently, reinforcing long-term conviction despite short-term pressure.
What This Means for Retail Traders
16/
• 10–20% BTC drawdowns are normal
• The $76K level is now key support/resistance
• High volume with stabilization often precedes relief
• Thin liquidity can still trigger sharp moves
17/
Disciplined averaging during high-volume pullbacks historically outperforms emotional trading. Risk management matters more than predictions.
Final Thoughts
18/
This red phase is less a failure and more a stress test. Bitcoin has repeatedly recovered from deeper drawdowns, and this move looks more like consolidation than structural breakdown.
19/
The real question now:
Does BTC reclaim $80K+ and turn Strategy green again—or do we see one more liquidity sweep first?