The Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025, matching the pace of the previous quarter and slightly above market expectations of 0.2%, according to a flash estimate. Among the bloc’s largest economies, Spain led the gains, the strongest quarterly growth in a year, surpassing expectations of 0.6%, supported by robust household consumption and fixed investment. The Netherlands expanded by 0.5%, driven primarily by exports. Germany and Italy each grew by 0.3%, both beating forecasts, while France grew 0.2%, as expected, marking its weakest quarterly pace since Q1 2025. On an annual basis, Eurozone GDP rose 1.3%, above expectations of 1.2%. For full-year 2025, the Eurozone economy expanded 1.5%, up from 0.9% in 2024 and surpassing the European Commission’s 1.3% projection. Looking ahead, growth is expected to moderate to 1.2% in 2026, amid geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty, before picking up slightly to 1.4% in 2027.
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Eurozone Economy Holds Steady in Q4
The Eurozone economy grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025, matching the pace of the previous quarter and slightly above market expectations of 0.2%, according to a flash estimate. Among the bloc’s largest economies, Spain led the gains, the strongest quarterly growth in a year, surpassing expectations of 0.6%, supported by robust household consumption and fixed investment. The Netherlands expanded by 0.5%, driven primarily by exports. Germany and Italy each grew by 0.3%, both beating forecasts, while France grew 0.2%, as expected, marking its weakest quarterly pace since Q1 2025. On an annual basis, Eurozone GDP rose 1.3%, above expectations of 1.2%. For full-year 2025, the Eurozone economy expanded 1.5%, up from 0.9% in 2024 and surpassing the European Commission’s 1.3% projection. Looking ahead, growth is expected to moderate to 1.2% in 2026, amid geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty, before picking up slightly to 1.4% in 2027.