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Strike Gold by Sharing Your TradFi Orders and Pictures!
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#比特币价格走势 Seeing the data on Polymarket, I was a bit confused😅 The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January has risen to 38%. Is this really true?? It feels like the price changes every day, and the predicted probabilities change along with it...
The most outrageous thing is I found someone betting on these events on Polymarket, almost like gambling? Just curious, how is this 38% probability calculated? Is it really meaningful or just for fun? Also, 69% of people predict it will rise to $95,000, why is this probability so high? 🤔
Since I just started a few days ago, I feel like data and predictions are everywhere, and I’m a bit worried about being led astray. I want to ask if there are beginner-friendly ways to understand these probability predictions? Or how should I judge which information is reliable? The story of Bitcoin seems much more complicated than I thought😭