2026-01-21 21:20:56

#谁将成为下一届美联储掌舵人？ Yesterday's news sentiment exploded directly, with $BTC forcibly pulling back from 87,000 to above 90,000. The intensity of the buying pressure at this critical level is clearly visible.

The technical indicators are also responding—KDJ's J value has rebounded from the oversold level of 7.09 and is moving upward, while RSI has climbed back to 44.99. Both indicators have escaped the weak state, signaling that short-term rebound momentum is building.

But there's a but. The price is still being firmly held down by the three medium- and long-term moving averages: MA60 (90194), MA90 (94180), and MA120 (99173). All of them are trending downward, indicating that the bearish structure has not been broken. The MACD's DIF is still below DEA, and although the green histogram is shrinking, the overall framework remains bearish.

In plain terms, this rebound looks more like an oversold bounce triggered by news rather than a trend reversal. In the short term, there is still room for a rebound, but the medium- and long-term bearish logic has not been reversed. After the rebound, it is likely to face resistance and pull back again.

BTC0.77%

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GasFeeNightmare

· 13h ago

Late night again, staying up to watch this rebound makes me realize it's all fake. The moving average resistance is so strong, the medium to long-term downtrend hasn't broken, so any rebound higher is pointless. I've already calculated that when the rebound reaches around 94, gas fees will surge again. It's better to wait for a pullback before acting. Despite the news hype, the technicals remain the same. The DIF is still below, so what kind of reversal is this? In the short term, it looks promising, but I bet it will still drop further. That's how history repeats itself. No matter how fierce the rebound, it can't withstand all three moving averages pointing downward. The medium-term bearish logic is still in place.

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MEVHunter_9000

· 13h ago

The news is quite intense, but these three moving averages are pressing down a bit too hard, feeling like the rebound is just a trap to lure in shorts. Wait, is the Fed Chair now so directly connected to BTC? The rebound space is limited, don't be fooled into entering, brother. Oversold rebounds are just a brief flash of light; the medium-term trend remains bearish. As long as the moving averages haven't broken, don't expect a reversal; this is a frustrating market. There is buying momentum, but the pressure and pullback are more likely, and another shakeout is expected.

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ImpermanentPhobia

· 13h ago

A rebound is a rebound, don't overthink it. The pressure from those three moving averages is indeed holding strong. Hmm, that's not right. There's still room for a short-term rebound, but I still don't dare to bottom fish. With all this turmoil in the news, we have to wait and see the FED's stance. The medium- to long-term downtrend hasn't been broken, so this round will probably still be volatile.

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AirdropSkeptic

· 13h ago

Moving averages suppression is just a deadlock; this rebound will eventually be吐出来. What's going on with the Federal Reserve? It feels like BTC is playing itself. What’s the point of a short-term rebound? I’d rather wait for the correction to be in place. The news is hot for a while, but technicals are the real boss. Look at this bearish structure, it hasn't been broken at all. The MA120 is almost close to 99. Unless there's a breakthrough in one go, it's just a repeated scene of cutting leeks. It's actually the main force shaking the warehouse; the real opportunity hasn't come yet. The rebound has room but the risk is even greater. I think it's better to stay on the sidelines. DIF is still below DEA. Is this going to continue the downward trend? Pulling to 90000 hard doesn't change the overall direction; medium-term is still weak.

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