2026-01-21 20:20:50

Recent positive signals from the Global Economic Forum have significantly boosted bullish sentiment in the crypto market. Especially the reaffirmation of the prospects of digital assets has directly driven upward momentum.

From a technical perspective, Ethereum's performance around the 2800 price level is noteworthy. I previously expressed a bullish outlook in this area, and the current market reaction largely aligns with expectations. Combining the current macroeconomic background and candlestick patterns, the probability of forming a phased bottom at this level is quite considerable—estimated at around 50%.

The remaining 50% uncertainty will be verified by subsequent market movements, but from a logical chain perspective, the bullish story framework has gradually taken shape. The coordinated performance of Sol and other mainstream coins further reinforces this judgment.

ETH2.03%

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RektHunter

· 2h ago

50% bottom, 50% uncertainty... Bro, is this gambling or analysis? --- Is 2800 really the bottom? Why am I still losing? --- Sol is also linked? Last time it linked, I got stopped out by a spike. --- This 50-50 split idea makes me want to laugh. What does "anything is possible" mean? --- If just posting rumors on the forum could make prices rise, I would also be an analyst. --- ETH around 2800 is indeed interesting, but it feels like the story is a bit premature. --- Again, the bullish framework is valid. I've heard this phrase over a hundred times this year. --- Can we stop making such ambiguous judgments? It feels like paving the way for reverse operations later. --- I believe in mainstream coin linkages, but the real question is how long this can last.

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wagmi_eventually

· 3h ago

50% chance—sounds like you're dodging the issue; what about the other 50%? Could it just come crashing down?

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AirdropDreamBreaker

· 3h ago

50% chance of hitting the bottom, and the other 50% is just gambling on luck. I just like this honest analysis.

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RugPullSurvivor

· 3h ago

2800 is really the key level. I've been saying this wave would rebound for a long time. Wait, there's a 50% chance, but what about the other 50%? It still depends on subsequent performance. Sol's rise is indeed quite interesting. I don't know how long this forum effect can last, so be careful of catching the falling knife.

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OnlyOnMainnet

· 3h ago

2800 is indeed an interesting level, I've been paying attention to it before. By the way, a 50/50 probability is a bit conservative, just say you're bullish and it's over. Saur is following so closely, it feels like there's definitely something in this wave. As for the signals from the forum, I don't know how reliable they are, but the market is speaking for itself. But we still need to wait for the subsequent trend to confirm, to avoid getting trapped again.

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DefiPlaybook

· 3h ago

50% probability, 50% uncertainty... This math problem is a bit clever. The rest is just waiting for the "subsequent trend" to verify, which is equivalent to saying nothing. Based on on-chain data, the TVL growth during ETH's rebound is the real indicator; relying solely on forum signals and candlestick patterns won't last long.

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