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The market has finally rebounded recently, but the strong resistance level above has become a roadblock, constantly holding it back. To be honest, this rebound feels more like a trap—after the US market opened higher and then slightly retraced, it looks tempting, but the breakdown signals on the daily chart are still there.
What's the background? The trade war between Trump and the EU has become bad news, and the interest rate hike in Japan is hanging over the market. These two factors are enough to dampen market sentiment. Currently, long positions can't hold up at all; risk control is essential—exit with small losses, don't be greedy.
On the technical side, Bitcoin faces a hurdle at 9050; if it can't break through, consider shorting. Ethereum is pressured at 3030. Looking at recent movements, there was indeed a rebound, but the magnitude was modest—Bitcoin dropped 3400 points, Ethereum fell 170 points. Do you think that's impressive? Anyway, the market is never gentle.
The only possible turning point might be the Fed's rate cut meeting at the end of the month. Whether the market can truly reverse depends on that move. The smartest approach now is to analyze each trend rationally and avoid being forced off the train during the season when profits should be taken.