Individual factors alone—delayed tariff pass-through, tightening labor supply, looser fiscal policy, and accommodative financial conditions—would each nudge inflation higher on their own. But when you stack them together? That's where things get interesting. We're looking at inflation potentially breaking above 4% by the end of 2026, and honestly, that scenario isn't just plausible anymore. It's arguably the base case. For crypto markets and portfolio managers, this kind of macro backdrop matters. Higher inflation usually reshapes how capital flows across asset classes, which is worth keeping on your radar.
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New_Ser_Ngmi
· 13h ago
4% inflation? BTC should be going up now.
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BlockchainDecoder
· 13h ago
According to research, the combined effect of multiple factors indeed explains inflation trends better than a single variable. It is worth noting that the author used the term "base case" rather than "tail risk," and this shift is quite significant.
From a technical perspective, the 4% inflation threshold has a direct impact on on-chain asset pricing—based on the following points: first, the re-evaluation of real yields; second, the capital flow into crypto assets as a logical chain for inflation hedging. However, it must be said that relying solely on macroeconomic background to predict the crypto market is not rigorous enough, as on-chain practical applications and ecosystem fundamentals are the core.
In summary, while this view is reasonable, do not over-attribute the causal relationship from inflation to crypto price increases; historical data can sometimes be quite counterintuitive.
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LiquidityHunter
· 13h ago
Inflation breaks 4%, the crypto market is definitely going to surge hard now.
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SilentObserver
· 13h ago
Inflation breaking 4%? The crypto world is about to take off, brother
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ZkProofPudding
· 14h ago
Inflation breaking 4%? It should have been handled this way a long time ago, crypto needs to rebound now.
Individual factors alone—delayed tariff pass-through, tightening labor supply, looser fiscal policy, and accommodative financial conditions—would each nudge inflation higher on their own. But when you stack them together? That's where things get interesting. We're looking at inflation potentially breaking above 4% by the end of 2026, and honestly, that scenario isn't just plausible anymore. It's arguably the base case. For crypto markets and portfolio managers, this kind of macro backdrop matters. Higher inflation usually reshapes how capital flows across asset classes, which is worth keeping on your radar.