Advice from Greeks.Live analysts: The end of the year forces traders to change their options strategy

2026-01-12 09:49:31

The increasing conservatism in the cryptocurrency market is becoming more evident in the behavior of professional options traders. The Greeks.Live report from December 26, 2025, indicates a clear shift towards less risky investment approaches, especially in the context of the upcoming expiration of a significant portion of positions.

Market Data Indicates Caution Among Traders

Analysts observe that the dominant strategy among market participants is selling option premiums rather than taking directional positions on Bitcoin. This approach reflects the uncertainty prevailing in the market during the pre-holiday period. Traders’ attention is focused around the price of $88,770 – a level associated with particular activity in the derivatives market.

Critical Moments on the Horizon

The point of greatest pain currently discussed by professionals is near $98,134. On Friday, we face a mass expiration – over half of all open options positions will be liquidated, necessitating the use of roll strategies. In conditions of reduced liquidity during the holidays, many analysts recommend refraining from aggressive transactions until the trading concept reemerges on Monday.

Recommended Strategies for the Coming Days

Greeks.Live suggests investors focus on conservative approaches. Among the available options, the bull call spread stands out, which limits both potential profit and risk of loss, as well as naked put selling – a more advanced strategy for experienced traders. These approaches minimize exposure to volatility during low trading volumes.

Long-term Perspectives and Risks

Probabilistic models indicate that over the next six months, a two-standard-deviation decline could reach $17,000. At the same time, market interest is gradually shifting towards the precious metals sector and alternative asset classes. Changes in market conditions in 2025 suggest that investors should prepare for new opportunities and threats in the coming year, adjusting their portfolios to the altered regulatory and technological landscape.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.