#ETHTrendWatch

From a structural perspective:
Higher lows remain intact
Upside progress is slowing near resistance
Buyers are still present, but conviction has softened

🔄 Trend Direction Breakdown
Bullish Trend Strength: 65%
Range / Pullback Risk: 35%
ETH is still trending upward on the short-term timeframe, but the trend has shifted from impulsive to controlled. This indicates the market is transitioning from expansion to evaluation.

A bullish trend above 60% means:
Buyers still control structure
Trend has not broken
Risk of trend failure remains manageable
However, anything below 70% also signals reduced momentum acceleration.

🚀 Momentum Quality Assessment
Positive Momentum Strength: 68%
Momentum Fatigue Risk: 32%
Momentum remains favorable, but it is no longer accelerating. This suggests:
Fewer aggressive buyers entering
Existing longs protecting profits
Market waiting for confirmation (volume or pullback)
Momentum above 65% = trend continuation bias
Momentum below 70% = caution near resistance

📊 Volume Participation Analysis
Current Volume vs 7-Day Average: –18%
Buy-Side Participation: 55%
Sell-Side Participation: 45%
Volume is contracting while price rises, which statistically reduces breakout reliability. Healthy breakouts usually require:
+20–30% volume expansion
Clear dominance from buyers
Current volume conditions imply:
Price can still move higher
But upside follow-through is limited without new demand

🎯 Key Levels & Reaction Probability
Support Zone: 3,095 – 3,110 USDT
Support Holding Probability: 70%
Strong reaction zone if tested
Buyers likely to re-enter here
Resistance Zone: 3,128 – 3,131 USDT
Rejection Probability: 60%
Area of profit-taking
Breakout requires volume confirmation
Price behavior at these zones will define the next directional phase.