The recent chill in the crypto market is palpable. The Solana candlestick looks like a slide, plunging over 36% from its high in just a month. The price briefly broke below the key support level of $122, with a blood-red technical picture—RSI staying in the 30s, and all moving averages pointing downward, which indeed looks grim.



But here’s where it gets interesting. While panic is spreading, seasoned traders who have experienced multiple bull and bear cycles are sensing an opportunity. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko recently predicted a "trillion-dollar" valuation, and this is definitely not just talk.

So, what is the main culprit behind the plunge? The most immediate trigger is the upcoming FTX token unlock. On March 1st, 11.2 million SOL tokens will enter the market, amounting to roughly $1.76 billion at current prices. These tokens come from FTX’s bankruptcy liquidation, where institutional investors initially bought at a discount. Now, the question is, these low-cost chips will start entering the market one after another.

From a technical perspective, the outlook is indeed bleak—Solana’s trading price is below all key moving averages, indicating a persistent downtrend. But history shows that such negative news often follows a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" pattern.

An even more intriguing phenomenon is the change in on-chain activity. The frenzy around memecoins is fading, and daily active addresses on the Solana chain have dropped from over 9 million at the beginning of the year to around 3.3 million, hitting a new low in the past year. When speculators start to exit, the real strategic moves are just beginning. The market always works this way—the darkest hour is often when the smartest money begins to act.
SOL0.79%
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NestedFoxvip
· 3h ago
Hmm... The wave of chips dumped by FTX was indeed violent. --- It's time for "the smartest money" to start布局, why do I always miss out? --- The RSI has dropped below 30, and someone is still calling for a trillion? I don't believe you. --- Daily active users have fallen from 9 million to 3.3 million, this is the most terrifying signal. --- Buying rumors and selling facts, it's easy to say, but 99% of people are doomed to buy high and sell low. --- Wait, when Anatoly calls for a trillion, is he also adding positions at the low? --- Memecoin cooling off is just right; it's time to clear out the leeks and get serious. --- If it breaks $122, it will be completely liquidated, right? It's always the same story. --- Honestly, the biggest test of mentality at this time is who can really hold on. --- The FTX institutions took advantage of discounted prices; now dumping on us retail investors, the套路 is very clear.
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StealthMoonvip
· 3h ago
RSI in the early thirties, this is the bottom signal, another round of leek-cutting show
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LiquidationHuntervip
· 3h ago
It's the same old "darkest before dawn" rhetoric again. Every time it dips, an opportunity can be found. Fine, I believe you.
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RuntimeErrorvip
· 3h ago
SOL this wave is indeed tough, but the issue of FTX unlocking and dumping should have been digested long ago. What can happen with discounted chips entering the market? Just dump it, anyway, the bottom is right here. Daily active users dropped to 3.3 million... what does this actually indicate? The real army has long been prepared. Trillions of dollars? Ha, let's see if we can survive this first.
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