The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda recently sent a clear signal in his speech at the Economic Planning Agency—interest rate hikes will continue next year. This is not just a policy adjustment but an official declaration of the end of the three-decade-long era of negative interest rates.



His statement was straightforward: prices have risen, wages are following suit, and real interest rates are at historic lows. Continuing to maintain ultra-loose policies is no longer tenable. As the last major central bank in the world to hold zero interest rates, Japan's shift signals a significant change.

What does this change specifically mean? First, it marks the end of an era. The global financial landscape driven by ultra-low financing costs is gradually disintegrating. Second, Ueda explicitly hinted that rate hikes are not a one-time move but the beginning of a foreseeable, sustained tightening cycle. Finally, as the Bank of Japan steadily raises financing costs, large carry trades based on low-cost yen financing—buying high-yield assets—will face increasing pressure to unwind and capital will flow back.

With even the most dovish central banks worldwide turning hawkish, the sectors attracting capital have fundamentally changed. For risk assets like cryptocurrencies, there may be short-term liquidity tightening pressures, but in the long run, this could also drive funds to seek new growth opportunities, including in digital assets and related fields.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
ContractHuntervip
· 4h ago
The Bank of Japan is really about to make a complete turnaround. This interest rate hike cycle will definitely cause a collapse in carry trades... It will be tough in the short term, but in the long run, cryptocurrencies still have opportunities, right?
View OriginalReply0
NotAFinancialAdvicevip
· 4h ago
The Bank of Japan has finally faced reality; it's time to wake up from a 30-year dream. Are carry trade positions about to explode? Then our opportunity has arrived.
View OriginalReply0
BlockchainDecodervip
· 4h ago
According to research, the technical significance of the Bank of Japan's recent shift has been seriously underestimated. Notably, the liquidity shocks triggered by carry trade unwinds are highly similar to the Swiss franc event in 2015—data shows that the daily volatility at that time surged over 300%. From a technical perspective, the hypothesis that the crypto market, as a non-correlated asset, serves as a safe haven is being challenged, and in the short term, it is indeed difficult to avoid being affected.
View OriginalReply0
TokenomicsTherapistvip
· 4h ago
The yen carry trade is about to blow up, and now crypto is about to get hit hard.
View OriginalReply0
BagHolderTillRetirevip
· 4h ago
Wow, the Bank of Japan is finally going to take serious action? Thirty years, huh? This time, carry traders are going to get wrecked.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)