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Current Market Sentiment — Fear (Index of Fear and Greed CMC: 29/100). Key points:
1. Fear and Greed Index — stable at 29 (unchanged for 7 days), indicating ongoing investor caution.
2. Derivative Market Activity — open interest decreased by 2.13% over 24 hours, trading volume dropped by 34.8%, suggesting reduced speculative interest.
3. Social Sentiments — mixed signals: overall score of 5.09 out of 10 (according to CMC algorithm), but discussions are filled with extreme price forecasts.
Detailed Analysis
1. Stability of the Fear and Greed Index
Overview:
The index remains at 29 ("Fear") for seven consecutive days, slightly above the yearly low of 10 in November. Bitcoin dominance (58.96%) increased by 0.39% over the month, reflecting capital redistribution into more reliable assets.
What it means:
This is a neutral-bearish signal, as prolonged periods of fear often precede capitulation, but the stability of the index indicates that the market is currently perceiving selling pressure calmly without panic.
2. Decreased Activity in the Derivative Market
Overview:
- Open interest in perpetual contracts fell to $729.91 billion (-2.15% over 24 hours)
- BTC liquidations decreased by 93% to $3.36 million per day
- Funding rate remains positive (0.0035%) but decreased by 32.7%
What it means:
This is a neutral signal — reduced leverage decreases short-term risks of high volatility, but declining activity indicates weak confidence in market direction.
3. Extreme Sentiments on Social Media
Overview:
- Net sentiment index: 5.09 out of 10 (according to CMC algorithm)
- Optimistic posts: "$DOGE $0.12 → $57"
- Pessimistic posts: "Worse than the 2020 crash"
What it means:
This is a neutral signal — exaggerated forecasts dominate, reflecting more retail speculation than professional institutional analysis.
Conclusion
Market sentiment remains cautious (Fear), derivative traders are reducing positions, and social media swings between euphoria and pessimism. The key indicator to watch is Bitcoin dominance: a drop below 58% could signal renewed interest in altcoins, while an increase above 60% may strengthen risk-avoidance sentiment. Technical analysis shows that the total crypto market capitalization ($2.97 trillion) is below the 30-day moving average ($3.03 trillion), indicating a short-term bearish trend.